Incumbent Rob Wittman holds a fundraising edge and benefits from Virginia’s 1st District historical Republican lean, reflected in prior presidential and gubernatorial results, which supports his leading trader-implied probability. Shannon Taylor, the Democratic nominee after her August primary win, draws strength from endorsements by Governor Abigail Spanberger, Senators Tim Kaine and Mark Warner, and groups like End Citizens United, while highlighting her record as Henrico prosecutor and opposition to corporate PAC money. Forecasters rate the seat Lean Republican, consistent with the current 58.5–39.5 market split, though Democratic performance in the 2025 statewide race and ongoing campaign focus on healthcare costs and accountability keep the contest competitive heading into November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVA-01 House Election Winner
VA-01 House Election Winner
$28,308 KL.
$28,308 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Rob Wittman (R)
59%
Shannon Taylor (D)
40%
$28,308 KL.
$28,308 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Rob Wittman (R)
$6,831 KL.
59%
Shannon Taylor (D)
$21,477 KL.
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rob Wittman holds a fundraising edge and benefits from Virginia’s 1st District historical Republican lean, reflected in prior presidential and gubernatorial results, which supports his leading trader-implied probability. Shannon Taylor, the Democratic nominee after her August primary win, draws strength from endorsements by Governor Abigail Spanberger, Senators Tim Kaine and Mark Warner, and groups like End Citizens United, while highlighting her record as Henrico prosecutor and opposition to corporate PAC money. Forecasters rate the seat Lean Republican, consistent with the current 58.5–39.5 market split, though Democratic performance in the 2025 statewide race and ongoing campaign focus on healthcare costs and accountability keep the contest competitive heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$28,308Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rob Wittman holds a fundraising edge and benefits from Virginia’s 1st District historical Republican lean, reflected in prior presidential and gubernatorial results, which supports his leading trader-implied probability. Shannon Taylor, the Democratic nominee after her August primary win, draws strength from endorsements by Governor Abigail Spanberger, Senators Tim Kaine and Mark Warner, and groups like End Citizens United, while highlighting her record as Henrico prosecutor and opposition to corporate PAC money. Forecasters rate the seat Lean Republican, consistent with the current 58.5–39.5 market split, though Democratic performance in the 2025 statewide race and ongoing campaign focus on healthcare costs and accountability keep the contest competitive heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$28,308Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rob Wittman holds a fundraising edge and benefits from Virginia’s 1st District historical Republican lean, reflected in prior presidential and gubernatorial results, which supports his leading trader-implied probability. Shannon Taylor, the Democratic nominee after her August primary win, draws strength from endorsements by Governor Abigail Spanberger, Senators Tim Kaine and Mark Warner, and groups like End Citizens United, while highlighting her record as Henrico prosecutor and opposition to corporate PAC money. Forecasters rate the seat Lean Republican, consistent with the current 58.5–39.5 market split, though Democratic performance in the 2025 statewide race and ongoing campaign focus on healthcare costs and accountability keep the contest competitive heading into November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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