**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's maximum in Ankara due to consistent official and model forecasts showing a peak near that threshold under mostly clear skies with light northeasterly winds.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, project afternoon highs of 28–30°C, aligning precisely with the 29°C bin as the day nears resolution. This reflects typical late-August conditions in the region, where daytime maxima average around 30–32°C but moderated by current atmospheric stability and minimal cloud cover. The market-implied 100% probability on 29°C captures the tight clustering of forecasts and early observational data, with minimal dispersion across ensembles. A realistic shift would require an unexpected model revision or localized measurement variance at the primary reporting station, though current guidance shows high agreement through the afternoon peak window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日安卡拉的最高溫度？
8月31日安卡拉的最高溫度？
31°C 10.0%
34°C or higher 9.8%
24°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$34,417 交易量
$34,417 交易量
2026-08-31
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
-
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
-
30°C
-
31°C
10%
32°C
-
33°C
-
34°C or higher
10%
31°C 10.0%
34°C or higher 9.8%
24°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$34,417 交易量
$34,417 交易量
2026-08-31
24°C or below
$449 交易量
<1%
25°C
$635 交易量
-
26°C
$1,773 交易量
<1%
27°C
$6,090 交易量
<1%
28°C
$8,319 交易量
<1%
29°C
$9,685 交易量
-
30°C
$5,933 交易量
-
31°C
$965 交易量
10%
32°C
$130 交易量
-
33°C
$151 交易量
-
34°C or higher
$286 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's maximum in Ankara due to consistent official and model forecasts showing a peak near that threshold under mostly clear skies with light northeasterly winds.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, project afternoon highs of 28–30°C, aligning precisely with the 29°C bin as the day nears resolution. This reflects typical late-August conditions in the region, where daytime maxima average around 30–32°C but moderated by current atmospheric stability and minimal cloud cover. The market-implied 100% probability on 29°C captures the tight clustering of forecasts and early observational data, with minimal dispersion across ensembles. A realistic shift would require an unexpected model revision or localized measurement variance at the primary reporting station, though current guidance shows high agreement through the afternoon peak window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$34,417結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's maximum in Ankara due to consistent official and model forecasts showing a peak near that threshold under mostly clear skies with light northeasterly winds.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, project afternoon highs of 28–30°C, aligning precisely with the 29°C bin as the day nears resolution. This reflects typical late-August conditions in the region, where daytime maxima average around 30–32°C but moderated by current atmospheric stability and minimal cloud cover. The market-implied 100% probability on 29°C captures the tight clustering of forecasts and early observational data, with minimal dispersion across ensembles. A realistic shift would require an unexpected model revision or localized measurement variance at the primary reporting station, though current guidance shows high agreement through the afternoon peak window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$34,417結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's maximum in Ankara due to consistent official and model forecasts showing a peak near that threshold under mostly clear skies with light northeasterly winds.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, project afternoon highs of 28–30°C, aligning precisely with the 29°C bin as the day nears resolution. This reflects typical late-August conditions in the region, where daytime maxima average around 30–32°C but moderated by current atmospheric stability and minimal cloud cover. The market-implied 100% probability on 29°C captures the tight clustering of forecasts and early observational data, with minimal dispersion across ensembles. A realistic shift would require an unexpected model revision or localized measurement variance at the primary reporting station, though current guidance shows high agreement through the afternoon peak window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions