**Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C as the day's high in Milan, backed by real-time observations and model consensus showing a peak near that threshold under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light southwesterly winds.** Authoritative forecasts from sources aligned with ECMWF and GFS runs project a maximum around 30–32°C, with hourly data confirming values climbing to approximately 31°C by mid-afternoon before declining. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of low uncertainty in late-summer synoptic patterns over the Po Valley. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unexpected late surge in insolation or official measurement revision exceeding 31°C, though current trends and proximity to day's end make significant deviation improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日米蘭的最高溫度？
8月31日米蘭的最高溫度？
31°C 99.6%
32°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$175,989 交易量
$175,989 交易量
2026-08-31
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.6%
32°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$175,989 交易量
$175,989 交易量
2026-08-31
24°C or below
$2,246 交易量
<1%
25°C
$78,162 交易量
<1%
26°C
$21,499 交易量
<1%
27°C
$13,300 交易量
<1%
28°C
$8,817 交易量
<1%
29°C
$13,342 交易量
<1%
30°C
$9,482 交易量
<1%
31°C
$15,788 交易量
100%
32°C
$7,760 交易量
<1%
33°C
$3,961 交易量
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,631 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C as the day's high in Milan, backed by real-time observations and model consensus showing a peak near that threshold under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light southwesterly winds.** Authoritative forecasts from sources aligned with ECMWF and GFS runs project a maximum around 30–32°C, with hourly data confirming values climbing to approximately 31°C by mid-afternoon before declining. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of low uncertainty in late-summer synoptic patterns over the Po Valley. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unexpected late surge in insolation or official measurement revision exceeding 31°C, though current trends and proximity to day's end make significant deviation improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$175,989結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C as the day's high in Milan, backed by real-time observations and model consensus showing a peak near that threshold under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light southwesterly winds.** Authoritative forecasts from sources aligned with ECMWF and GFS runs project a maximum around 30–32°C, with hourly data confirming values climbing to approximately 31°C by mid-afternoon before declining. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of low uncertainty in late-summer synoptic patterns over the Po Valley. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unexpected late surge in insolation or official measurement revision exceeding 31°C, though current trends and proximity to day's end make significant deviation improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$175,989結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C as the day's high in Milan, backed by real-time observations and model consensus showing a peak near that threshold under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light southwesterly winds.** Authoritative forecasts from sources aligned with ECMWF and GFS runs project a maximum around 30–32°C, with hourly data confirming values climbing to approximately 31°C by mid-afternoon before declining. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of low uncertainty in late-summer synoptic patterns over the Po Valley. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unexpected late surge in insolation or official measurement revision exceeding 31°C, though current trends and proximity to day's end make significant deviation improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions