Eduardo Riedel, the incumbent PP governor of Mato Grosso do Sul, holds a commanding position in the October 2026 election due to his broad coalition of nine parties, strong personal approval ratings around 62 percent, and consistent polling leads of 40 percent or more in the first round. Recent surveys show him ahead of Fábio Trad (PT) at 13 percent and Delcídio Amaral (PRD) at 8 percent, with decisive advantages in all tested runoff scenarios. Traders assign him a 92.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the structural benefits of incumbency, unified center-right support, and limited opposition consolidation ahead of the first-round vote on October 4. Shifts could still arise from intensified late campaigning, changes in undecided voters, or unforeseen developments within the final weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於愛德華多·瑞德爾 93%
若昂·恩里克·卡坦 <1%
經濟學家雷納托·戈梅斯 <1%
法比奧·特拉德 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
愛德華多·瑞德爾
93%
若昂·恩里克·卡坦
1%
經濟學家雷納托·戈梅斯
<1%
法比奧·特拉德
<1%
丹尼爾·萊梅斯
<1%
盧西恩·雷澤恩
<1%
傑斐遜·貝澤拉
<1%
德爾西迪奧·阿馬拉爾
<1%
愛德華多·瑞德爾 93%
若昂·恩里克·卡坦 <1%
經濟學家雷納托·戈梅斯 <1%
法比奧·特拉德 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
愛德華多·瑞德爾
$2,873 交易量
93%
若昂·恩里克·卡坦
$262 交易量
1%
經濟學家雷納托·戈梅斯
$252 交易量
<1%
法比奧·特拉德
$299 交易量
<1%
丹尼爾·萊梅斯
$265 交易量
<1%
盧西恩·雷澤恩
$365 交易量
<1%
傑斐遜·貝澤拉
$379 交易量
<1%
德爾西迪奧·阿馬拉爾
$351 交易量
<1%
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Riedel, the incumbent PP governor of Mato Grosso do Sul, holds a commanding position in the October 2026 election due to his broad coalition of nine parties, strong personal approval ratings around 62 percent, and consistent polling leads of 40 percent or more in the first round. Recent surveys show him ahead of Fábio Trad (PT) at 13 percent and Delcídio Amaral (PRD) at 8 percent, with decisive advantages in all tested runoff scenarios. Traders assign him a 92.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the structural benefits of incumbency, unified center-right support, and limited opposition consolidation ahead of the first-round vote on October 4. Shifts could still arise from intensified late campaigning, changes in undecided voters, or unforeseen developments within the final weeks.
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ET
交易量
$5,046結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ETThe Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Riedel, the incumbent PP governor of Mato Grosso do Sul, holds a commanding position in the October 2026 election due to his broad coalition of nine parties, strong personal approval ratings around 62 percent, and consistent polling leads of 40 percent or more in the first round. Recent surveys show him ahead of Fábio Trad (PT) at 13 percent and Delcídio Amaral (PRD) at 8 percent, with decisive advantages in all tested runoff scenarios. Traders assign him a 92.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the structural benefits of incumbency, unified center-right support, and limited opposition consolidation ahead of the first-round vote on October 4. Shifts could still arise from intensified late campaigning, changes in undecided voters, or unforeseen developments within the final weeks.
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$5,046結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ETEduardo Riedel, the incumbent PP governor of Mato Grosso do Sul, holds a commanding position in the October 2026 election due to his broad coalition of nine parties, strong personal approval ratings around 62 percent, and consistent polling leads of 40 percent or more in the first round. Recent surveys show him ahead of Fábio Trad (PT) at 13 percent and Delcídio Amaral (PRD) at 8 percent, with decisive advantages in all tested runoff scenarios. Traders assign him a 92.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the structural benefits of incumbency, unified center-right support, and limited opposition consolidation ahead of the first-round vote on October 4. Shifts could still arise from intensified late campaigning, changes in undecided voters, or unforeseen developments within the final weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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