Wellington Fagundes (PL) holds a modest edge over incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) in the October 4 first-round race, with recent late-August surveys from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas showing the two in technical tie amid 8–29% undecided or blank/null responses. Pivetta assumed the governorship in March 2026 after Mauro Mendes resigned to pursue a Senate seat and secured União Brasil backing at convention, while Fagundes consolidated PL support with reported alignment from the Bolsonaro wing. The remaining field, led by Natasha Slhessarenko (PSD) in the low single digits, fragments the vote further. High undecided shares, recent convention alliances, and limited time for Pivetta to build on incumbency have kept probabilities compressed, with traders pricing a narrow Fagundes lead consistent with polling volatility and the possibility of a runoff. Key upcoming catalysts include additional surveys, scheduled campaign events through September, and any shifts in endorsements or turnout among agricultural voters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於威靈頓·法古恩德斯 59%
奧塔維亞諾·皮維塔 39%
毛里西奧·科埃略 <1%
薩金托·勞迪塞里奧 <1%
$20,951 交易量
$20,951 交易量
2026-10-04
威靈頓·法古恩德斯
59%
奧塔維亞諾·皮維塔
39%
毛里西奧·科埃略
<1%
薩金托·勞迪塞里奧
<1%
娜塔莎醫生
<1%
Rafaell Milas
<1%
威靈頓·法古恩德斯 59%
奧塔維亞諾·皮維塔 39%
毛里西奧·科埃略 <1%
薩金托·勞迪塞里奧 <1%
$20,951 交易量
$20,951 交易量
2026-10-04
威靈頓·法古恩德斯
$11,136 交易量
59%
奧塔維亞諾·皮維塔
$6,325 交易量
39%
毛里西奧·科埃略
$936 交易量
<1%
薩金托·勞迪塞里奧
$689 交易量
<1%
娜塔莎醫生
$995 交易量
<1%
Rafaell Milas
$870 交易量
<1%
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Wellington Fagundes (PL) holds a modest edge over incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) in the October 4 first-round race, with recent late-August surveys from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas showing the two in technical tie amid 8–29% undecided or blank/null responses. Pivetta assumed the governorship in March 2026 after Mauro Mendes resigned to pursue a Senate seat and secured União Brasil backing at convention, while Fagundes consolidated PL support with reported alignment from the Bolsonaro wing. The remaining field, led by Natasha Slhessarenko (PSD) in the low single digits, fragments the vote further. High undecided shares, recent convention alliances, and limited time for Pivetta to build on incumbency have kept probabilities compressed, with traders pricing a narrow Fagundes lead consistent with polling volatility and the possibility of a runoff. Key upcoming catalysts include additional surveys, scheduled campaign events through September, and any shifts in endorsements or turnout among agricultural voters.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
交易量
$20,951結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETThe Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Wellington Fagundes (PL) holds a modest edge over incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) in the October 4 first-round race, with recent late-August surveys from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas showing the two in technical tie amid 8–29% undecided or blank/null responses. Pivetta assumed the governorship in March 2026 after Mauro Mendes resigned to pursue a Senate seat and secured União Brasil backing at convention, while Fagundes consolidated PL support with reported alignment from the Bolsonaro wing. The remaining field, led by Natasha Slhessarenko (PSD) in the low single digits, fragments the vote further. High undecided shares, recent convention alliances, and limited time for Pivetta to build on incumbency have kept probabilities compressed, with traders pricing a narrow Fagundes lead consistent with polling volatility and the possibility of a runoff. Key upcoming catalysts include additional surveys, scheduled campaign events through September, and any shifts in endorsements or turnout among agricultural voters.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$20,951結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETWellington Fagundes (PL) holds a modest edge over incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) in the October 4 first-round race, with recent late-August surveys from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas showing the two in technical tie amid 8–29% undecided or blank/null responses. Pivetta assumed the governorship in March 2026 after Mauro Mendes resigned to pursue a Senate seat and secured União Brasil backing at convention, while Fagundes consolidated PL support with reported alignment from the Bolsonaro wing. The remaining field, led by Natasha Slhessarenko (PSD) in the low single digits, fragments the vote further. High undecided shares, recent convention alliances, and limited time for Pivetta to build on incumbency have kept probabilities compressed, with traders pricing a narrow Fagundes lead consistent with polling volatility and the possibility of a runoff. Key upcoming catalysts include additional surveys, scheduled campaign events through September, and any shifts in endorsements or turnout among agricultural voters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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