**Anthropic’s explosive revenue growth and private-market momentum underpin the 95.3% market-implied odds for a 600B+ IPO closing market cap.** The company’s annualized run rate reached $65 billion by July 2026 after surging from $9 billion at the end of 2025, supported by rapid adoption of its Claude large language models and major infrastructure deals. A May 2026 $65 billion funding round valued Anthropic at $965 billion, while bankers have discussed targets near $1.5–2 trillion ahead of the post-Labor Day prospectus and potential late-September or early-October Nasdaq listing. Trader consensus, informed by these verified developments and historical AI valuation multiples, views a sub-$600 billion outcome as unlikely. Realistic challenges include IPO delays from regulatory scrutiny, missed 2028 revenue projections of $190–200 billion, or adverse shifts in public-market sentiment for high-growth AI firms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6000 亿美元及以上 95.6%
截至2027年12月31日未进行IPO 2.0%
低于1000亿 1.6%
4000–6000亿 <1%
$442,367 交易量
$442,367 交易量
2027-12-31
低于1000亿
2%
1000–2000亿美元
<1%
2000–3000 亿
<1%
3000–4000亿美元
<1%
4000–6000亿
1%
6000 亿美元及以上
96%
截至2027年12月31日未进行IPO
2%
6000 亿美元及以上 95.6%
截至2027年12月31日未进行IPO 2.0%
低于1000亿 1.6%
4000–6000亿 <1%
$442,367 交易量
$442,367 交易量
2027-12-31
低于1000亿
$157,784 交易量
2%
1000–2000亿美元
$82,775 交易量
<1%
2000–3000 亿
$22,839 交易量
<1%
3000–4000亿美元
$73,412 交易量
<1%
4000–6000亿
$22,527 交易量
1%
6000 亿美元及以上
$48,173 交易量
96%
截至2027年12月31日未进行IPO
$34,858 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Anthropic’s explosive revenue growth and private-market momentum underpin the 95.3% market-implied odds for a 600B+ IPO closing market cap.** The company’s annualized run rate reached $65 billion by July 2026 after surging from $9 billion at the end of 2025, supported by rapid adoption of its Claude large language models and major infrastructure deals. A May 2026 $65 billion funding round valued Anthropic at $965 billion, while bankers have discussed targets near $1.5–2 trillion ahead of the post-Labor Day prospectus and potential late-September or early-October Nasdaq listing. Trader consensus, informed by these verified developments and historical AI valuation multiples, views a sub-$600 billion outcome as unlikely. Realistic challenges include IPO delays from regulatory scrutiny, missed 2028 revenue projections of $190–200 billion, or adverse shifts in public-market sentiment for high-growth AI firms.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
交易量
$442,367结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETThis market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Anthropic’s explosive revenue growth and private-market momentum underpin the 95.3% market-implied odds for a 600B+ IPO closing market cap.** The company’s annualized run rate reached $65 billion by July 2026 after surging from $9 billion at the end of 2025, supported by rapid adoption of its Claude large language models and major infrastructure deals. A May 2026 $65 billion funding round valued Anthropic at $965 billion, while bankers have discussed targets near $1.5–2 trillion ahead of the post-Labor Day prospectus and potential late-September or early-October Nasdaq listing. Trader consensus, informed by these verified developments and historical AI valuation multiples, views a sub-$600 billion outcome as unlikely. Realistic challenges include IPO delays from regulatory scrutiny, missed 2028 revenue projections of $190–200 billion, or adverse shifts in public-market sentiment for high-growth AI firms.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$442,367结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET**Anthropic’s explosive revenue growth and private-market momentum underpin the 95.3% market-implied odds for a 600B+ IPO closing market cap.** The company’s annualized run rate reached $65 billion by July 2026 after surging from $9 billion at the end of 2025, supported by rapid adoption of its Claude large language models and major infrastructure deals. A May 2026 $65 billion funding round valued Anthropic at $965 billion, while bankers have discussed targets near $1.5–2 trillion ahead of the post-Labor Day prospectus and potential late-September or early-October Nasdaq listing. Trader consensus, informed by these verified developments and historical AI valuation multiples, views a sub-$600 billion outcome as unlikely. Realistic challenges include IPO delays from regulatory scrutiny, missed 2028 revenue projections of $190–200 billion, or adverse shifts in public-market sentiment for high-growth AI firms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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