Incumbent French Hill benefits from the Arkansas 2nd District's established Republican tilt, reflected in its recent presidential voting patterns and most forecasters rating the seat Solid or Likely Republican. Hill secured his March primary nomination decisively and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with significantly higher cash reserves than Democratic nominee Chris Jones. Jones, who won his primary, received an August endorsement from Kamala Harris and saw some internal and academic polling show a narrow lead or close contest earlier in the cycle, prompting the DCCC to label the race competitive. However, broader fundamentals including incumbency and historical margins have kept trader consensus heavily weighted toward Hill for the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,237 交易量
$15,237 交易量
2026-11-03
French Hill（共和党）
84%
克里斯·琼斯（民主党）
16%
$15,237 交易量
$15,237 交易量
2026-11-03
French Hill（共和党）
$5,083 交易量
84%
克里斯·琼斯（民主党）
$10,154 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent French Hill benefits from the Arkansas 2nd District's established Republican tilt, reflected in its recent presidential voting patterns and most forecasters rating the seat Solid or Likely Republican. Hill secured his March primary nomination decisively and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with significantly higher cash reserves than Democratic nominee Chris Jones. Jones, who won his primary, received an August endorsement from Kamala Harris and saw some internal and academic polling show a narrow lead or close contest earlier in the cycle, prompting the DCCC to label the race competitive. However, broader fundamentals including incumbency and historical margins have kept trader consensus heavily weighted toward Hill for the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$15,237结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent French Hill benefits from the Arkansas 2nd District's established Republican tilt, reflected in its recent presidential voting patterns and most forecasters rating the seat Solid or Likely Republican. Hill secured his March primary nomination decisively and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with significantly higher cash reserves than Democratic nominee Chris Jones. Jones, who won his primary, received an August endorsement from Kamala Harris and saw some internal and academic polling show a narrow lead or close contest earlier in the cycle, prompting the DCCC to label the race competitive. However, broader fundamentals including incumbency and historical margins have kept trader consensus heavily weighted toward Hill for the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,237结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETIncumbent French Hill benefits from the Arkansas 2nd District's established Republican tilt, reflected in its recent presidential voting patterns and most forecasters rating the seat Solid or Likely Republican. Hill secured his March primary nomination decisively and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with significantly higher cash reserves than Democratic nominee Chris Jones. Jones, who won his primary, received an August endorsement from Kamala Harris and saw some internal and academic polling show a narrow lead or close contest earlier in the cycle, prompting the DCCC to label the race competitive. However, broader fundamentals including incumbency and historical margins have kept trader consensus heavily weighted toward Hill for the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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