**Jaques Wagner leads trader consensus for second place in Bahia’s October 4 Senate election at 64%, reflecting consistent polling that positions the two PT candidates as favorites to claim both seats.** Recent surveys, including Paraná Pesquisas (late August) and Quaest, show Rui Costa ahead overall while Wagner trails him but outpaces opposition figures such as João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos). Both PT candidates benefit from strong name recognition, party organization, and a broad alliance that includes PDT, MDB, PSB, PSD, and Avante. Opposition challengers remain competitive for lower positions but trail significantly in simulated two-vote scenarios. The market’s pricing aligns with this evidence of a likely PT sweep of the top two spots, with limited movement from recent convention formalizations or polling updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Jaques Wagner 64%
Rui Costa 15.6%
Angelo Coronel 14.0%
João Roma 8.3%
$28,318 交易量
$28,318 交易量
2026-10-04
Jaques Wagner
64%
Rui Costa
16%
Angelo Coronel
14%
João Roma
8%
Carlos Sodré
<1%
Gregorio Gould
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
<1%
Marcelo Millet
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
<1%
Professora Delliana
<1%
Jaques Wagner 64%
Rui Costa 15.6%
Angelo Coronel 14.0%
João Roma 8.3%
$28,318 交易量
$28,318 交易量
2026-10-04
Jaques Wagner
$17,513 交易量
64%
Rui Costa
$4,521 交易量
16%
Angelo Coronel
$1,506 交易量
14%
João Roma
$989 交易量
8%
Carlos Sodré
$652 交易量
<1%
Gregorio Gould
$570 交易量
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
$488 交易量
<1%
Marcelo Millet
$673 交易量
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
$654 交易量
<1%
Professora Delliana
$751 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Jaques Wagner leads trader consensus for second place in Bahia’s October 4 Senate election at 64%, reflecting consistent polling that positions the two PT candidates as favorites to claim both seats.** Recent surveys, including Paraná Pesquisas (late August) and Quaest, show Rui Costa ahead overall while Wagner trails him but outpaces opposition figures such as João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos). Both PT candidates benefit from strong name recognition, party organization, and a broad alliance that includes PDT, MDB, PSB, PSD, and Avante. Opposition challengers remain competitive for lower positions but trail significantly in simulated two-vote scenarios. The market’s pricing aligns with this evidence of a likely PT sweep of the top two spots, with limited movement from recent convention formalizations or polling updates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
交易量
$28,318结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Jaques Wagner leads trader consensus for second place in Bahia’s October 4 Senate election at 64%, reflecting consistent polling that positions the two PT candidates as favorites to claim both seats.** Recent surveys, including Paraná Pesquisas (late August) and Quaest, show Rui Costa ahead overall while Wagner trails him but outpaces opposition figures such as João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos). Both PT candidates benefit from strong name recognition, party organization, and a broad alliance that includes PDT, MDB, PSB, PSD, and Avante. Opposition challengers remain competitive for lower positions but trail significantly in simulated two-vote scenarios. The market’s pricing aligns with this evidence of a likely PT sweep of the top two spots, with limited movement from recent convention formalizations or polling updates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$28,318结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET**Jaques Wagner leads trader consensus for second place in Bahia’s October 4 Senate election at 64%, reflecting consistent polling that positions the two PT candidates as favorites to claim both seats.** Recent surveys, including Paraná Pesquisas (late August) and Quaest, show Rui Costa ahead overall while Wagner trails him but outpaces opposition figures such as João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos). Both PT candidates benefit from strong name recognition, party organization, and a broad alliance that includes PDT, MDB, PSB, PSD, and Avante. Opposition challengers remain competitive for lower positions but trail significantly in simulated two-vote scenarios. The market’s pricing aligns with this evidence of a likely PT sweep of the top two spots, with limited movement from recent convention formalizations or polling updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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