Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu's strong position in California's 36th congressional district stems from its consistent Democratic registration advantage and voting patterns in Los Angeles County, where he captured nearly 69 percent in the prior cycle. The June 2026 top-two primary reinforced this, with Lieu securing over 60 percent while the leading Republican advanced with under 16 percent. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects the limited path for Republican challenger Houston Brignano absent a major unforeseen development such as a late scandal, candidate health issue, or dramatic national political shift that alters turnout or voter priorities in this affluent, highly educated coastal district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$35,241 交易量
$35,241 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$35,241 交易量
$35,241 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$6,297 交易量
95%
共和党
$28,944 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu's strong position in California's 36th congressional district stems from its consistent Democratic registration advantage and voting patterns in Los Angeles County, where he captured nearly 69 percent in the prior cycle. The June 2026 top-two primary reinforced this, with Lieu securing over 60 percent while the leading Republican advanced with under 16 percent. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects the limited path for Republican challenger Houston Brignano absent a major unforeseen development such as a late scandal, candidate health issue, or dramatic national political shift that alters turnout or voter priorities in this affluent, highly educated coastal district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$35,241结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu's strong position in California's 36th congressional district stems from its consistent Democratic registration advantage and voting patterns in Los Angeles County, where he captured nearly 69 percent in the prior cycle. The June 2026 top-two primary reinforced this, with Lieu securing over 60 percent while the leading Republican advanced with under 16 percent. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects the limited path for Republican challenger Houston Brignano absent a major unforeseen development such as a late scandal, candidate health issue, or dramatic national political shift that alters turnout or voter priorities in this affluent, highly educated coastal district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$35,241结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Ted Lieu's strong position in California's 36th congressional district stems from its consistent Democratic registration advantage and voting patterns in Los Angeles County, where he captured nearly 69 percent in the prior cycle. The June 2026 top-two primary reinforced this, with Lieu securing over 60 percent while the leading Republican advanced with under 16 percent. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects the limited path for Republican challenger Houston Brignano absent a major unforeseen development such as a late scandal, candidate health issue, or dramatic national political shift that alters turnout or voter priorities in this affluent, highly educated coastal district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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