Morena maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for the 2027 Mexican legislative election due to sustained leads in national polling averages, where the party registers 35-46% voting intention compared to single-digit or low-teen shares for PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano. This reflects Morena’s control of the presidency under Claudia Sheinbaum, whose administration has advanced constitutional reforms with coalition support, alongside the party’s strong territorial organization and the fragmentation of opposition forces ahead of the June 2027 vote for all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats. Recent surveys from mid-2026 confirm the gap has held steady, with Morena’s coalition often exceeding 45% when including PVEM and PT allies. Shifts could arise from unified opposition alliances, changes in economic conditions, or late swings in undecided voters that narrow the effective preference margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于莫雷纳 91.3%
国家行动党（PAN） 6.3%
制度革命党（PRI） 2.1%
公民运动党 <1%
$103,806 交易量
$103,806 交易量
2027-06-05
莫雷纳
91%
国家行动党（PAN）
6%
制度革命党（PRI）
2%
公民运动党
<1%
工人党（PT）
<1%
PVEM
<1%
莫雷纳 91.3%
国家行动党（PAN） 6.3%
制度革命党（PRI） 2.1%
公民运动党 <1%
$103,806 交易量
$103,806 交易量
2027-06-05
莫雷纳
$56,644 交易量
91%
国家行动党（PAN）
$17,547 交易量
6%
制度革命党（PRI）
$8,469 交易量
2%
公民运动党
$8,875 交易量
<1%
工人党（PT）
$6,129 交易量
<1%
PVEM
$6,141 交易量
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for the 2027 Mexican legislative election due to sustained leads in national polling averages, where the party registers 35-46% voting intention compared to single-digit or low-teen shares for PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano. This reflects Morena’s control of the presidency under Claudia Sheinbaum, whose administration has advanced constitutional reforms with coalition support, alongside the party’s strong territorial organization and the fragmentation of opposition forces ahead of the June 2027 vote for all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats. Recent surveys from mid-2026 confirm the gap has held steady, with Morena’s coalition often exceeding 45% when including PVEM and PT allies. Shifts could arise from unified opposition alliances, changes in economic conditions, or late swings in undecided voters that narrow the effective preference margin.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
交易量
$103,806结束日期
2027-06-06市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETA legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for the 2027 Mexican legislative election due to sustained leads in national polling averages, where the party registers 35-46% voting intention compared to single-digit or low-teen shares for PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano. This reflects Morena’s control of the presidency under Claudia Sheinbaum, whose administration has advanced constitutional reforms with coalition support, alongside the party’s strong territorial organization and the fragmentation of opposition forces ahead of the June 2027 vote for all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats. Recent surveys from mid-2026 confirm the gap has held steady, with Morena’s coalition often exceeding 45% when including PVEM and PT allies. Shifts could arise from unified opposition alliances, changes in economic conditions, or late swings in undecided voters that narrow the effective preference margin.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
交易量
$103,806结束日期
2027-06-06市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETMorena maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for the 2027 Mexican legislative election due to sustained leads in national polling averages, where the party registers 35-46% voting intention compared to single-digit or low-teen shares for PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano. This reflects Morena’s control of the presidency under Claudia Sheinbaum, whose administration has advanced constitutional reforms with coalition support, alongside the party’s strong territorial organization and the fragmentation of opposition forces ahead of the June 2027 vote for all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats. Recent surveys from mid-2026 confirm the gap has held steady, with Morena’s coalition often exceeding 45% when including PVEM and PT allies. Shifts could arise from unified opposition alliances, changes in economic conditions, or late swings in undecided voters that narrow the effective preference margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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