**AS leads Latvian parliamentary election markets at 74.9% amid consistent polling strength ahead of the October 3 vote.** Recent SKDS surveys show the United List (Apvienotais saraksts), led by incumbent Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs, holding a clear advantage with support around 15–24%, well ahead of Sovereign Power (SV), Progressives (PRO), and Latvia First (LPV). Kulbergs’ May 2026 appointment following coalition adjustments after a defense-related government shift has coincided with rising ratings for his party. Traders appear to price in the benefits of incumbency, coalition positioning, and voter preferences in a proportional system requiring a 5% threshold, while smaller probabilities for SV, LPV, and others reflect weaker or more fragmented polling trends. Security and domestic issues continue to shape campaign dynamics in the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于联合名单（AS） 74.8%
SV 9.2%
拉脱维亚优先党（LPV） 5%
进步党（PRO） 3.8%
$213,057 交易量
$213,057 交易量
2026-10-02
联合名单（AS）
75%
SV
9%
拉脱维亚优先党（LPV）
5%
进步党（PRO）
4%
NA
2%
团结党
<1%
ST!
<1%
S
<1%
ZZS
<1%
联合名单（AS） 74.8%
SV 9.2%
拉脱维亚优先党（LPV） 5%
进步党（PRO） 3.8%
$213,057 交易量
$213,057 交易量
2026-10-02
联合名单（AS）
$36,717 交易量
75%
SV
$28,036 交易量
9%
拉脱维亚优先党（LPV）
$25,922 交易量
5%
进步党（PRO）
$31,521 交易量
4%
NA
$10,297 交易量
2%
团结党
$13,769 交易量
<1%
ST!
$4,870 交易量
<1%
S
$6,655 交易量
<1%
ZZS
$55,270 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).**AS leads Latvian parliamentary election markets at 74.9% amid consistent polling strength ahead of the October 3 vote.** Recent SKDS surveys show the United List (Apvienotais saraksts), led by incumbent Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs, holding a clear advantage with support around 15–24%, well ahead of Sovereign Power (SV), Progressives (PRO), and Latvia First (LPV). Kulbergs’ May 2026 appointment following coalition adjustments after a defense-related government shift has coincided with rising ratings for his party. Traders appear to price in the benefits of incumbency, coalition positioning, and voter preferences in a proportional system requiring a 5% threshold, while smaller probabilities for SV, LPV, and others reflect weaker or more fragmented polling trends. Security and domestic issues continue to shape campaign dynamics in the final weeks.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
交易量
$213,057结束日期
2026-10-03市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETParliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).**AS leads Latvian parliamentary election markets at 74.9% amid consistent polling strength ahead of the October 3 vote.** Recent SKDS surveys show the United List (Apvienotais saraksts), led by incumbent Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs, holding a clear advantage with support around 15–24%, well ahead of Sovereign Power (SV), Progressives (PRO), and Latvia First (LPV). Kulbergs’ May 2026 appointment following coalition adjustments after a defense-related government shift has coincided with rising ratings for his party. Traders appear to price in the benefits of incumbency, coalition positioning, and voter preferences in a proportional system requiring a 5% threshold, while smaller probabilities for SV, LPV, and others reflect weaker or more fragmented polling trends. Security and domestic issues continue to shape campaign dynamics in the final weeks.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
交易量
$213,057结束日期
2026-10-03市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET**AS leads Latvian parliamentary election markets at 74.9% amid consistent polling strength ahead of the October 3 vote.** Recent SKDS surveys show the United List (Apvienotais saraksts), led by incumbent Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs, holding a clear advantage with support around 15–24%, well ahead of Sovereign Power (SV), Progressives (PRO), and Latvia First (LPV). Kulbergs’ May 2026 appointment following coalition adjustments after a defense-related government shift has coincided with rising ratings for his party. Traders appear to price in the benefits of incumbency, coalition positioning, and voter preferences in a proportional system requiring a 5% threshold, while smaller probabilities for SV, LPV, and others reflect weaker or more fragmented polling trends. Security and domestic issues continue to shape campaign dynamics in the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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