Incumbent Jason Smith maintains a commanding position in Missouri’s 8th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, its rural character across southeastern counties, and his long tenure since 2013. Smith secured his party’s nomination with 86 percent in the August primary, while Democrat Chris Reichard advanced narrowly but faces structural disadvantages in a district rated safe or solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the absence of competitive polling, limited Democratic fundraising, and historical margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited to unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an abrupt national political realignment that shifts turnout or voter priorities before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$46,136 交易量
$46,136 交易量
2026-11-02
贾森·史密斯（共和党）
96%
克里斯·赖查德（民主党）
3%
$46,136 交易量
$46,136 交易量
2026-11-02
贾森·史密斯（共和党）
$27,583 交易量
96%
克里斯·赖查德（民主党）
$18,553 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jason Smith maintains a commanding position in Missouri’s 8th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, its rural character across southeastern counties, and his long tenure since 2013. Smith secured his party’s nomination with 86 percent in the August primary, while Democrat Chris Reichard advanced narrowly but faces structural disadvantages in a district rated safe or solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the absence of competitive polling, limited Democratic fundraising, and historical margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited to unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an abrupt national political realignment that shifts turnout or voter priorities before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$46,136结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jason Smith maintains a commanding position in Missouri’s 8th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, its rural character across southeastern counties, and his long tenure since 2013. Smith secured his party’s nomination with 86 percent in the August primary, while Democrat Chris Reichard advanced narrowly but faces structural disadvantages in a district rated safe or solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the absence of competitive polling, limited Democratic fundraising, and historical margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited to unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an abrupt national political realignment that shifts turnout or voter priorities before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$46,136结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETIncumbent Jason Smith maintains a commanding position in Missouri’s 8th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, its rural character across southeastern counties, and his long tenure since 2013. Smith secured his party’s nomination with 86 percent in the August primary, while Democrat Chris Reichard advanced narrowly but faces structural disadvantages in a district rated safe or solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the absence of competitive polling, limited Democratic fundraising, and historical margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited to unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an abrupt national political realignment that shifts turnout or voter priorities before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题