Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly holds a commanding position in Mississippi’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat’s strong Republican lean and his established record since 2015. The district carries an R+18 Partisan Voter Index, and forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March primary after securing nearly 70 percent in 2024, while Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson prevailed in a low-turnout primary but lacks the structural advantages or recent polling momentum to close the gap. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns in this northeastern Mississippi district, where incumbency and voter composition have consistently favored Republicans. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though none have materialized to date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$117,455 交易量
$117,455 交易量
2026-11-02
特伦特·凯利（共和党）
95%
克利夫·约翰逊（民主党）
4%
$117,455 交易量
$117,455 交易量
2026-11-02
特伦特·凯利（共和党）
$85,217 交易量
95%
克利夫·约翰逊（民主党）
$32,239 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly holds a commanding position in Mississippi’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat’s strong Republican lean and his established record since 2015. The district carries an R+18 Partisan Voter Index, and forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March primary after securing nearly 70 percent in 2024, while Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson prevailed in a low-turnout primary but lacks the structural advantages or recent polling momentum to close the gap. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns in this northeastern Mississippi district, where incumbency and voter composition have consistently favored Republicans. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$117,455结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly holds a commanding position in Mississippi’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat’s strong Republican lean and his established record since 2015. The district carries an R+18 Partisan Voter Index, and forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March primary after securing nearly 70 percent in 2024, while Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson prevailed in a low-turnout primary but lacks the structural advantages or recent polling momentum to close the gap. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns in this northeastern Mississippi district, where incumbency and voter composition have consistently favored Republicans. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$117,455结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETIncumbent Republican Trent Kelly holds a commanding position in Mississippi’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat’s strong Republican lean and his established record since 2015. The district carries an R+18 Partisan Voter Index, and forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March primary after securing nearly 70 percent in 2024, while Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson prevailed in a low-turnout primary but lacks the structural advantages or recent polling momentum to close the gap. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns in this northeastern Mississippi district, where incumbency and voter composition have consistently favored Republicans. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though none have materialized to date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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