Aaron Flint holds a clear lead in the MT-01 House race according to trader consensus, reflecting the district’s Republican lean in western Montana and his strong primary performance. Flint, a radio host and Army veteran endorsed by President Trump and retiring Rep. Ryan Zinke, secured the GOP nomination with over 50% of the vote in June. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with some surveys placing Democrat Sam Forstag narrowly ahead or tied, though others favor Flint. Developments since the primaries include Republican ad spending exceeding $1.9 million, attacks on Forstag’s past work with organizations including the ACLU, and Forstag’s decision to remove high-profile progressive endorsements from his site while the general election remains scheduled for November 3. The open seat and district’s voting history continue to shape positioning ahead of Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,774 交易量
$19,774 交易量
2026-11-03
亚伦·弗林特（共和党）
68%
萨姆·福斯塔格（民主党）
32%
$19,774 交易量
$19,774 交易量
2026-11-03
亚伦·弗林特（共和党）
$6,753 交易量
68%
萨姆·福斯塔格（民主党）
$13,021 交易量
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aaron Flint holds a clear lead in the MT-01 House race according to trader consensus, reflecting the district’s Republican lean in western Montana and his strong primary performance. Flint, a radio host and Army veteran endorsed by President Trump and retiring Rep. Ryan Zinke, secured the GOP nomination with over 50% of the vote in June. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with some surveys placing Democrat Sam Forstag narrowly ahead or tied, though others favor Flint. Developments since the primaries include Republican ad spending exceeding $1.9 million, attacks on Forstag’s past work with organizations including the ACLU, and Forstag’s decision to remove high-profile progressive endorsements from his site while the general election remains scheduled for November 3. The open seat and district’s voting history continue to shape positioning ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
交易量
$19,774结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aaron Flint holds a clear lead in the MT-01 House race according to trader consensus, reflecting the district’s Republican lean in western Montana and his strong primary performance. Flint, a radio host and Army veteran endorsed by President Trump and retiring Rep. Ryan Zinke, secured the GOP nomination with over 50% of the vote in June. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with some surveys placing Democrat Sam Forstag narrowly ahead or tied, though others favor Flint. Developments since the primaries include Republican ad spending exceeding $1.9 million, attacks on Forstag’s past work with organizations including the ACLU, and Forstag’s decision to remove high-profile progressive endorsements from his site while the general election remains scheduled for November 3. The open seat and district’s voting history continue to shape positioning ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,774结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETAaron Flint holds a clear lead in the MT-01 House race according to trader consensus, reflecting the district’s Republican lean in western Montana and his strong primary performance. Flint, a radio host and Army veteran endorsed by President Trump and retiring Rep. Ryan Zinke, secured the GOP nomination with over 50% of the vote in June. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with some surveys placing Democrat Sam Forstag narrowly ahead or tied, though others favor Flint. Developments since the primaries include Republican ad spending exceeding $1.9 million, attacks on Forstag’s past work with organizations including the ACLU, and Forstag’s decision to remove high-profile progressive endorsements from his site while the general election remains scheduled for November 3. The open seat and district’s voting history continue to shape positioning ahead of Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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