Incumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding lead in Montana’s 2nd congressional district race, reflecting the district’s strong Republican tilt and his unopposed primary victory. Recent polling from late August to early September shows Downing ahead by 22 points among registered voters, with Democratic nominee Brian Miller improving name recognition but still trailing substantially. Analyst ratings classify the seat as solidly or safely Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Factors supporting this positioning include the district’s voting history and limited Democratic infrastructure. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national shifts, unexpected third-party performance by candidates such as independent Michael Eisenhauer, or late developments affecting turnout or candidate viability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$45,343 交易量
$45,343 交易量
2026-11-02
特洛伊·唐宁（共和党）
95%
布莱恩·米勒（民主党）
5%
$45,343 交易量
$45,343 交易量
2026-11-02
特洛伊·唐宁（共和党）
$26,444 交易量
95%
布莱恩·米勒（民主党）
$18,899 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding lead in Montana’s 2nd congressional district race, reflecting the district’s strong Republican tilt and his unopposed primary victory. Recent polling from late August to early September shows Downing ahead by 22 points among registered voters, with Democratic nominee Brian Miller improving name recognition but still trailing substantially. Analyst ratings classify the seat as solidly or safely Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Factors supporting this positioning include the district’s voting history and limited Democratic infrastructure. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national shifts, unexpected third-party performance by candidates such as independent Michael Eisenhauer, or late developments affecting turnout or candidate viability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$45,343结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding lead in Montana’s 2nd congressional district race, reflecting the district’s strong Republican tilt and his unopposed primary victory. Recent polling from late August to early September shows Downing ahead by 22 points among registered voters, with Democratic nominee Brian Miller improving name recognition but still trailing substantially. Analyst ratings classify the seat as solidly or safely Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Factors supporting this positioning include the district’s voting history and limited Democratic infrastructure. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national shifts, unexpected third-party performance by candidates such as independent Michael Eisenhauer, or late developments affecting turnout or candidate viability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$45,343结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETIncumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding lead in Montana’s 2nd congressional district race, reflecting the district’s strong Republican tilt and his unopposed primary victory. Recent polling from late August to early September shows Downing ahead by 22 points among registered voters, with Democratic nominee Brian Miller improving name recognition but still trailing substantially. Analyst ratings classify the seat as solidly or safely Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Factors supporting this positioning include the district’s voting history and limited Democratic infrastructure. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national shifts, unexpected third-party performance by candidates such as independent Michael Eisenhauer, or late developments affecting turnout or candidate viability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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