Rebecca Bennett holds a commanding lead in the NJ-7 House race, with traders assigning her an 83.5% implied probability against incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. at 17.5%. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, secured the Democratic nomination in June after a decisive primary victory and has maintained momentum through strong fundraising exceeding $4 million and endorsements including from EMILYs List and the DCCC Red to Blue program. Kean’s four-month absence from Congress due to illness, which included missing over 140 votes and only resolved in late June, contributed to sharply negative approval ratings around 37% favorable. Mid-September polling showed Bennett ahead 47-42 among likely voters, while the firefighters union flipped its endorsement to her and forecasters such as Sabato’s Crystal Ball and Inside Elections shifted the contest toward Democratic lean or tilt. External support for Kean from Trump-aligned super PACs and Elon Musk’s PAC has not offset these factors in the current trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,067 交易量
$22,067 交易量
2026-11-03
丽贝卡·贝内特（民主党）
84%
小托马斯·基恩（共和党）
18%
$22,067 交易量
$22,067 交易量
2026-11-03
丽贝卡·贝内特（民主党）
$6,457 交易量
84%
小托马斯·基恩（共和党）
$15,610 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Bennett holds a commanding lead in the NJ-7 House race, with traders assigning her an 83.5% implied probability against incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. at 17.5%. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, secured the Democratic nomination in June after a decisive primary victory and has maintained momentum through strong fundraising exceeding $4 million and endorsements including from EMILYs List and the DCCC Red to Blue program. Kean’s four-month absence from Congress due to illness, which included missing over 140 votes and only resolved in late June, contributed to sharply negative approval ratings around 37% favorable. Mid-September polling showed Bennett ahead 47-42 among likely voters, while the firefighters union flipped its endorsement to her and forecasters such as Sabato’s Crystal Ball and Inside Elections shifted the contest toward Democratic lean or tilt. External support for Kean from Trump-aligned super PACs and Elon Musk’s PAC has not offset these factors in the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$22,067结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Bennett holds a commanding lead in the NJ-7 House race, with traders assigning her an 83.5% implied probability against incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. at 17.5%. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, secured the Democratic nomination in June after a decisive primary victory and has maintained momentum through strong fundraising exceeding $4 million and endorsements including from EMILYs List and the DCCC Red to Blue program. Kean’s four-month absence from Congress due to illness, which included missing over 140 votes and only resolved in late June, contributed to sharply negative approval ratings around 37% favorable. Mid-September polling showed Bennett ahead 47-42 among likely voters, while the firefighters union flipped its endorsement to her and forecasters such as Sabato’s Crystal Ball and Inside Elections shifted the contest toward Democratic lean or tilt. External support for Kean from Trump-aligned super PACs and Elon Musk’s PAC has not offset these factors in the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,067结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRebecca Bennett holds a commanding lead in the NJ-7 House race, with traders assigning her an 83.5% implied probability against incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. at 17.5%. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, secured the Democratic nomination in June after a decisive primary victory and has maintained momentum through strong fundraising exceeding $4 million and endorsements including from EMILYs List and the DCCC Red to Blue program. Kean’s four-month absence from Congress due to illness, which included missing over 140 votes and only resolved in late June, contributed to sharply negative approval ratings around 37% favorable. Mid-September polling showed Bennett ahead 47-42 among likely voters, while the firefighters union flipped its endorsement to her and forecasters such as Sabato’s Crystal Ball and Inside Elections shifted the contest toward Democratic lean or tilt. External support for Kean from Trump-aligned super PACs and Elon Musk’s PAC has not offset these factors in the current trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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