Recent polling shows the PCQ maintaining 14-16% support provincially, with particular strength in the Quebec City region where it often leads or ties the PQ and CAQ. This regional concentration supports a core of winnable ridings under first-past-the-post rules, yet seat outcomes remain sensitive to small shifts in multi-party contests and vote efficiency. The election on October 5 features a fragmented field with the PQ, CAQ, and PLQ also competing for the same francophone voters, keeping PCQ totals in a narrow band. Further regional polling, campaign momentum in Capitale-Nationale, or changes in turnout patterns could widen or narrow the range by clarifying how efficiently PCQ votes convert into seats across tight ridings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于11-13 25%
8-10 16%
少于5 13%
5-7 11%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
少于5
13%
5-7
11%
8-10
21%
11-13
25%
14-16
10%
17+
4%
11-13 25%
8-10 16%
少于5 13%
5-7 11%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
少于5
$1,230 交易量
13%
5-7
$361 交易量
11%
8-10
$836 交易量
21%
11-13
$947 交易量
25%
14-16
$744 交易量
10%
17+
$716 交易量
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the PCQ maintaining 14-16% support provincially, with particular strength in the Quebec City region where it often leads or ties the PQ and CAQ. This regional concentration supports a core of winnable ridings under first-past-the-post rules, yet seat outcomes remain sensitive to small shifts in multi-party contests and vote efficiency. The election on October 5 features a fragmented field with the PQ, CAQ, and PLQ also competing for the same francophone voters, keeping PCQ totals in a narrow band. Further regional polling, campaign momentum in Capitale-Nationale, or changes in turnout patterns could widen or narrow the range by clarifying how efficiently PCQ votes convert into seats across tight ridings.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
交易量
$4,833结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the PCQ maintaining 14-16% support provincially, with particular strength in the Quebec City region where it often leads or ties the PQ and CAQ. This regional concentration supports a core of winnable ridings under first-past-the-post rules, yet seat outcomes remain sensitive to small shifts in multi-party contests and vote efficiency. The election on October 5 features a fragmented field with the PQ, CAQ, and PLQ also competing for the same francophone voters, keeping PCQ totals in a narrow band. Further regional polling, campaign momentum in Capitale-Nationale, or changes in turnout patterns could widen or narrow the range by clarifying how efficiently PCQ votes convert into seats across tight ridings.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$4,833结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETRecent polling shows the PCQ maintaining 14-16% support provincially, with particular strength in the Quebec City region where it often leads or ties the PQ and CAQ. This regional concentration supports a core of winnable ridings under first-past-the-post rules, yet seat outcomes remain sensitive to small shifts in multi-party contests and vote efficiency. The election on October 5 features a fragmented field with the PQ, CAQ, and PLQ also competing for the same francophone voters, keeping PCQ totals in a narrow band. Further regional polling, campaign momentum in Capitale-Nationale, or changes in turnout patterns could widen or narrow the range by clarifying how efficiently PCQ votes convert into seats across tight ridings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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