OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 SEC filing and August 2026 $7 billion employee tender that reaffirmed its $852 billion private valuation anchor trader expectations for a 2027 IPO at or above $1 trillion. Rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $40 billion annualized run rate—with enterprise now exceeding consumer subscriptions—combined with strategic backing from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank supports market-implied odds favoring a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap at 55.5 percent. Persistent infrastructure-driven losses and CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion floor, which has shifted timelines from a potential late-2026 listing, introduce execution and market-condition risks that keep probabilities distributed across the $1–1.5 trillion bands while pricing the “no IPO by end-2027” outcome at just 6.9 percent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.5万亿以上 55.6%
1.25万亿–1.5万亿 14%
1万亿–1.25万亿 13.3%
7500亿–1万亿 9%
$185,898 交易量
$185,898 交易量
2027-12-31
低于5000亿
<1%
5000亿–7500亿美元
1%
7500亿–1万亿
9%
1万亿–1.25万亿
13%
1.25万亿–1.5万亿
14%
1.5万亿以上
56%
2027年12月31日前不进行IPO
7%
1.5万亿以上 55.6%
1.25万亿–1.5万亿 14%
1万亿–1.25万亿 13.3%
7500亿–1万亿 9%
$185,898 交易量
$185,898 交易量
2027-12-31
低于5000亿
$16,441 交易量
<1%
5000亿–7500亿美元
$17,327 交易量
1%
7500亿–1万亿
$32,287 交易量
9%
1万亿–1.25万亿
$23,245 交易量
13%
1.25万亿–1.5万亿
$13,813 交易量
14%
1.5万亿以上
$44,960 交易量
56%
2027年12月31日前不进行IPO
$37,824 交易量
7%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 SEC filing and August 2026 $7 billion employee tender that reaffirmed its $852 billion private valuation anchor trader expectations for a 2027 IPO at or above $1 trillion. Rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $40 billion annualized run rate—with enterprise now exceeding consumer subscriptions—combined with strategic backing from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank supports market-implied odds favoring a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap at 55.5 percent. Persistent infrastructure-driven losses and CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion floor, which has shifted timelines from a potential late-2026 listing, introduce execution and market-condition risks that keep probabilities distributed across the $1–1.5 trillion bands while pricing the “no IPO by end-2027” outcome at just 6.9 percent.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
交易量
$185,898结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETThis market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 SEC filing and August 2026 $7 billion employee tender that reaffirmed its $852 billion private valuation anchor trader expectations for a 2027 IPO at or above $1 trillion. Rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $40 billion annualized run rate—with enterprise now exceeding consumer subscriptions—combined with strategic backing from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank supports market-implied odds favoring a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap at 55.5 percent. Persistent infrastructure-driven losses and CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion floor, which has shifted timelines from a potential late-2026 listing, introduce execution and market-condition risks that keep probabilities distributed across the $1–1.5 trillion bands while pricing the “no IPO by end-2027” outcome at just 6.9 percent.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$185,898结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETOpenAI’s confidential June 2026 SEC filing and August 2026 $7 billion employee tender that reaffirmed its $852 billion private valuation anchor trader expectations for a 2027 IPO at or above $1 trillion. Rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $40 billion annualized run rate—with enterprise now exceeding consumer subscriptions—combined with strategic backing from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank supports market-implied odds favoring a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap at 55.5 percent. Persistent infrastructure-driven losses and CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion floor, which has shifted timelines from a potential late-2026 listing, introduce execution and market-condition risks that keep probabilities distributed across the $1–1.5 trillion bands while pricing the “no IPO by end-2027” outcome at just 6.9 percent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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