Anthropic's Claude models, particularly recent Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants, anchor trader consensus for second place on Code Arena WebDev due to sustained high performance on agentic frontend and SWE-bench tasks, trailing only OpenAI's newly released GPT-6 Astra. The early September launch of Astra shifted OpenAI into the lead on WebDev Arena leaderboards, with margins of 30+ points over Claude entries, while Google's Gemini 3.7 Flash and various open-weight contenders like Moonshot's Kimi or Alibaba's Qwen lag further behind in independent evaluations. This positioning reflects Anthropic's edge in multi-step web development workflows and price-performance stability, though a potential late-October model refresh from Anthropic or accelerated updates from competitors could alter the ranking before resolution. Market-implied odds capture this dynamic as aggregated trader assessment of current benchmark trajectories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic 60.9%
OpenAI 31%
Google 3.6%
SpaceXAI 3.4%
$24,512 交易量
$24,512 交易量
2026-10-31
Anthropic
61%
OpenAI
31%
4%
SpaceXAI
3%
阿里巴巴
3%
Z.ai
2%
Moonshot
2%
DeepSeek
2%
Poolside
1%
Meta
1%
腾讯
1%
字节跳动
1%
MiniMax
<1%
Thinky
<1%
小米
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 60.9%
OpenAI 31%
Google 3.6%
SpaceXAI 3.4%
$24,512 交易量
$24,512 交易量
2026-10-31
Anthropic
$4,511 交易量
61%
OpenAI
$4,179 交易量
31%
$823 交易量
4%
SpaceXAI
$681 交易量
3%
阿里巴巴
$1,901 交易量
3%
Z.ai
$705 交易量
2%
Moonshot
$5,066 交易量
2%
DeepSeek
$738 交易量
2%
Poolside
$1,085 交易量
1%
Meta
$847 交易量
1%
腾讯
$707 交易量
1%
字节跳动
$721 交易量
1%
MiniMax
$625 交易量
<1%
Thinky
$711 交易量
<1%
小米
$414 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$799 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude models, particularly recent Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants, anchor trader consensus for second place on Code Arena WebDev due to sustained high performance on agentic frontend and SWE-bench tasks, trailing only OpenAI's newly released GPT-6 Astra. The early September launch of Astra shifted OpenAI into the lead on WebDev Arena leaderboards, with margins of 30+ points over Claude entries, while Google's Gemini 3.7 Flash and various open-weight contenders like Moonshot's Kimi or Alibaba's Qwen lag further behind in independent evaluations. This positioning reflects Anthropic's edge in multi-step web development workflows and price-performance stability, though a potential late-October model refresh from Anthropic or accelerated updates from competitors could alter the ranking before resolution. Market-implied odds capture this dynamic as aggregated trader assessment of current benchmark trajectories.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
交易量
$24,512结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude models, particularly recent Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants, anchor trader consensus for second place on Code Arena WebDev due to sustained high performance on agentic frontend and SWE-bench tasks, trailing only OpenAI's newly released GPT-6 Astra. The early September launch of Astra shifted OpenAI into the lead on WebDev Arena leaderboards, with margins of 30+ points over Claude entries, while Google's Gemini 3.7 Flash and various open-weight contenders like Moonshot's Kimi or Alibaba's Qwen lag further behind in independent evaluations. This positioning reflects Anthropic's edge in multi-step web development workflows and price-performance stability, though a potential late-October model refresh from Anthropic or accelerated updates from competitors could alter the ranking before resolution. Market-implied odds capture this dynamic as aggregated trader assessment of current benchmark trajectories.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$24,512结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETAnthropic's Claude models, particularly recent Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants, anchor trader consensus for second place on Code Arena WebDev due to sustained high performance on agentic frontend and SWE-bench tasks, trailing only OpenAI's newly released GPT-6 Astra. The early September launch of Astra shifted OpenAI into the lead on WebDev Arena leaderboards, with margins of 30+ points over Claude entries, while Google's Gemini 3.7 Flash and various open-weight contenders like Moonshot's Kimi or Alibaba's Qwen lag further behind in independent evaluations. This positioning reflects Anthropic's edge in multi-step web development workflows and price-performance stability, though a potential late-October model refresh from Anthropic or accelerated updates from competitors could alter the ranking before resolution. Market-implied odds capture this dynamic as aggregated trader assessment of current benchmark trajectories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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