Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly in AI-related sectors, has anchored S&P 500 levels near 7,500–7,700 as of early September 2026, with year-to-date gains of roughly 12% driven by 33% Q2 EPS expansion and upward revisions to 2026 estimates around $339. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications under Chair Kevin Warsh, including elevated odds of a September rate hike from the current 3.50–3.75% funds rate target, have countered some of this momentum amid July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and core PCE near 3.3%. Mixed labor data, with August nonfarm payrolls at +162,000 and unemployment around 4.1%, alongside easing energy prices, shape expectations for the September 11 CPI and September 16 FOMC decisions. Analyst year-end targets cluster between 7,800 and 8,100, reflecting earnings resilience offset by policy and inflation risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$340,235 交易量
2026-12-31
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ 9,300美元
3%
↑ $9,000
4%
↑ 8,600美元
10%
↑ 8,200美元
30%
↑ $8,000
62%
↓ $7,400
68%
↓ $7,200
73%
↓ $7,000
36%
↓ 6,200美元
15%
↓ $6,000
16%
↓ 5,800
9%
↓ 5,200
7%
↓ 4,500美元
4%
$340,235 交易量
↑ $10,000
$203 交易量
3%
↑ 9,300美元
$9,538 交易量
3%
↑ $9,000
$78 交易量
4%
↑ 8,600美元
$30,614 交易量
10%
↑ 8,200美元
$23,827 交易量
30%
↑ $8,000
$559 交易量
62%
↓ $7,400
$0 交易量
68%
↓ $7,200
$5 交易量
73%
↓ $7,000
$343 交易量
36%
↓ 6,200美元
$53,409 交易量
15%
↓ $6,000
$2,957 交易量
16%
↓ 5,800
$41,770 交易量
9%
↓ 5,200
$56,898 交易量
7%
↓ 4,500美元
$59,984 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly in AI-related sectors, has anchored S&P 500 levels near 7,500–7,700 as of early September 2026, with year-to-date gains of roughly 12% driven by 33% Q2 EPS expansion and upward revisions to 2026 estimates around $339. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications under Chair Kevin Warsh, including elevated odds of a September rate hike from the current 3.50–3.75% funds rate target, have countered some of this momentum amid July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and core PCE near 3.3%. Mixed labor data, with August nonfarm payrolls at +162,000 and unemployment around 4.1%, alongside easing energy prices, shape expectations for the September 11 CPI and September 16 FOMC decisions. Analyst year-end targets cluster between 7,800 and 8,100, reflecting earnings resilience offset by policy and inflation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
交易量
$340,235结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly in AI-related sectors, has anchored S&P 500 levels near 7,500–7,700 as of early September 2026, with year-to-date gains of roughly 12% driven by 33% Q2 EPS expansion and upward revisions to 2026 estimates around $339. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications under Chair Kevin Warsh, including elevated odds of a September rate hike from the current 3.50–3.75% funds rate target, have countered some of this momentum amid July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and core PCE near 3.3%. Mixed labor data, with August nonfarm payrolls at +162,000 and unemployment around 4.1%, alongside easing energy prices, shape expectations for the September 11 CPI and September 16 FOMC decisions. Analyst year-end targets cluster between 7,800 and 8,100, reflecting earnings resilience offset by policy and inflation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$340,235结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETStrong corporate earnings growth, particularly in AI-related sectors, has anchored S&P 500 levels near 7,500–7,700 as of early September 2026, with year-to-date gains of roughly 12% driven by 33% Q2 EPS expansion and upward revisions to 2026 estimates around $339. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications under Chair Kevin Warsh, including elevated odds of a September rate hike from the current 3.50–3.75% funds rate target, have countered some of this momentum amid July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and core PCE near 3.3%. Mixed labor data, with August nonfarm payrolls at +162,000 and unemployment around 4.1%, alongside easing energy prices, shape expectations for the September 11 CPI and September 16 FOMC decisions. Analyst year-end targets cluster between 7,800 and 8,100, reflecting earnings resilience offset by policy and inflation risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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