Texas' 9th Congressional District was redrawn after 2024 to create a strongly Republican-leaning seat, prompting longtime Democratic incumbent Al Green to run elsewhere. Alex Mealer secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary runoff, defeating state Rep. Briscoe Cain with 68 percent of the vote after receiving Donald Trump's endorsement and substantial outside spending. Leticia Gutierrez won the Democratic primary outright in March. Forecasters rate the November general election as solidly or safely Republican, reflecting the district's partisan index near R+60, Mealer's fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, military and business background, and broad local endorsements. Gutierrez's campaign emphasizes affordability and immigration but faces structural headwinds in the altered map.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,829 交易量
$24,829 交易量
2026-11-03
亚历克斯·米勒（共和党）
88%
莱蒂西亚·古铁雷斯（民主党）
11%
$24,829 交易量
$24,829 交易量
2026-11-03
亚历克斯·米勒（共和党）
$18,087 交易量
88%
莱蒂西亚·古铁雷斯（民主党）
$6,742 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 9th Congressional District was redrawn after 2024 to create a strongly Republican-leaning seat, prompting longtime Democratic incumbent Al Green to run elsewhere. Alex Mealer secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary runoff, defeating state Rep. Briscoe Cain with 68 percent of the vote after receiving Donald Trump's endorsement and substantial outside spending. Leticia Gutierrez won the Democratic primary outright in March. Forecasters rate the November general election as solidly or safely Republican, reflecting the district's partisan index near R+60, Mealer's fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, military and business background, and broad local endorsements. Gutierrez's campaign emphasizes affordability and immigration but faces structural headwinds in the altered map.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ET
交易量
$24,829结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 9th Congressional District was redrawn after 2024 to create a strongly Republican-leaning seat, prompting longtime Democratic incumbent Al Green to run elsewhere. Alex Mealer secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary runoff, defeating state Rep. Briscoe Cain with 68 percent of the vote after receiving Donald Trump's endorsement and substantial outside spending. Leticia Gutierrez won the Democratic primary outright in March. Forecasters rate the November general election as solidly or safely Republican, reflecting the district's partisan index near R+60, Mealer's fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, military and business background, and broad local endorsements. Gutierrez's campaign emphasizes affordability and immigration but faces structural headwinds in the altered map.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,829结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETTexas' 9th Congressional District was redrawn after 2024 to create a strongly Republican-leaning seat, prompting longtime Democratic incumbent Al Green to run elsewhere. Alex Mealer secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary runoff, defeating state Rep. Briscoe Cain with 68 percent of the vote after receiving Donald Trump's endorsement and substantial outside spending. Leticia Gutierrez won the Democratic primary outright in March. Forecasters rate the November general election as solidly or safely Republican, reflecting the district's partisan index near R+60, Mealer's fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, military and business background, and broad local endorsements. Gutierrez's campaign emphasizes affordability and immigration but faces structural headwinds in the altered map.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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