Brandon Gill, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding position in the Texas 26th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 19.5-point margin there in 2024 and post-redistricting maps that favor the party. Gill secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary with 91% of the vote and has drawn attention for his committee work, including a bid for a senior oversight role. Democrat Steven Shook, who narrowly won his party's primary, faces structural headwinds in a district rated solidly Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 97.9% for Gill aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$34,293 交易量
$34,293 交易量
2026-11-02
布兰登·吉尔（共和党）
98%
史蒂文·舒克（民主党）
2%
$34,293 交易量
$34,293 交易量
2026-11-02
布兰登·吉尔（共和党）
$22,245 交易量
98%
史蒂文·舒克（民主党）
$12,049 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brandon Gill, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding position in the Texas 26th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 19.5-point margin there in 2024 and post-redistricting maps that favor the party. Gill secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary with 91% of the vote and has drawn attention for his committee work, including a bid for a senior oversight role. Democrat Steven Shook, who narrowly won his party's primary, faces structural headwinds in a district rated solidly Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 97.9% for Gill aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$34,293结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brandon Gill, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding position in the Texas 26th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 19.5-point margin there in 2024 and post-redistricting maps that favor the party. Gill secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary with 91% of the vote and has drawn attention for his committee work, including a bid for a senior oversight role. Democrat Steven Shook, who narrowly won his party's primary, faces structural headwinds in a district rated solidly Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 97.9% for Gill aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,293结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETBrandon Gill, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding position in the Texas 26th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 19.5-point margin there in 2024 and post-redistricting maps that favor the party. Gill secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary with 91% of the vote and has drawn attention for his committee work, including a bid for a senior oversight role. Democrat Steven Shook, who narrowly won his party's primary, faces structural headwinds in a district rated solidly Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 97.9% for Gill aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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