Republican incumbent Michael Cloud secured his party's nomination with 73% of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Tanya Lloyd prevailed in her primary with 63%. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball consistently rate the November 3 general election as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district's established partisan composition across the Coastal Bend and surrounding counties. This positioning aligns with the incumbent's prior electoral margins and limited Democratic fundraising or organizational activity reported to date. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting Cloud, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban or coastal precincts represent the main variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$37,299 交易量
$37,299 交易量
迈克尔·克劳德(共和党)
92%
塔尼娅·劳埃德(民主党)
8%
$37,299 交易量
$37,299 交易量
迈克尔·克劳德(共和党)
92%
塔尼娅·劳埃德(民主党)
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Republican incumbent Michael Cloud secured his party's nomination with 73% of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Tanya Lloyd prevailed in her primary with 63%. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball consistently rate the November 3 general election as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district's established partisan composition across the Coastal Bend and surrounding counties. This positioning aligns with the incumbent's prior electoral margins and limited Democratic fundraising or organizational activity reported to date. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting Cloud, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban or coastal precincts represent the main variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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