Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” leads the 2026 VMAs Best Dance category at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of PinkPantheress and Zara Larsson’s “Stateside” at 29%, with Lady Gaga and Doechii’s “Runway,” Tate McRae’s “Nobody’s Girl,” Slayyyter’s “Dance…,” Bebe Rexha and Faithless’ “New Religion,” and Harry Styles’ “Aperture” trailing in the low-to-mid teens. The returning category (absent since 2019) features fan voting through September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony in Los Angeles. Madonna’s frontrunner status stems from her record 13 total nominations, the project’s critical reception as a star-studded visual sequel to her 2005 dance classic, and strong industry narrative around her legacy and opening performance slot. PinkPantheress benefits from multiple nods and streaming traction, while the field remains fragmented among newer releases lacking comparable precursor momentum or historical voter pull.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于VMA最佳舞蹈2026
VMA最佳舞蹈2026
Confessions II – The Film（麦当娜） 35%
Stateside + Zara Larsson（PinkPantheress） 29%
光圈（Harry Styles） 9%
Runway（Lady Gaga 和 Doechii） 9%
Confessions II – The Film（麦当娜）
35%
Stateside + Zara Larsson（PinkPantheress）
29%
光圈（Harry Styles）
9%
Runway（Lady Gaga 和 Doechii）
9%
Dance...（Slayyyter）
6%
Nobody's Girl（Tate McRae）
6%
New Religion（Bebe Rexha 和 Faithless）
4%
Confessions II – The Film（麦当娜） 35%
Stateside + Zara Larsson（PinkPantheress） 29%
光圈（Harry Styles） 9%
Runway（Lady Gaga 和 Doechii） 9%
Confessions II – The Film（麦当娜）
35%
Stateside + Zara Larsson（PinkPantheress）
29%
光圈（Harry Styles）
9%
Runway（Lady Gaga 和 Doechii）
9%
Dance...（Slayyyter）
6%
Nobody's Girl（Tate McRae）
6%
New Religion（Bebe Rexha 和 Faithless）
4%
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” leads the 2026 VMAs Best Dance category at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of PinkPantheress and Zara Larsson’s “Stateside” at 29%, with Lady Gaga and Doechii’s “Runway,” Tate McRae’s “Nobody’s Girl,” Slayyyter’s “Dance…,” Bebe Rexha and Faithless’ “New Religion,” and Harry Styles’ “Aperture” trailing in the low-to-mid teens. The returning category (absent since 2019) features fan voting through September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony in Los Angeles. Madonna’s frontrunner status stems from her record 13 total nominations, the project’s critical reception as a star-studded visual sequel to her 2005 dance classic, and strong industry narrative around her legacy and opening performance slot. PinkPantheress benefits from multiple nods and streaming traction, while the field remains fragmented among newer releases lacking comparable precursor momentum or historical voter pull.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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