Israel's government has accelerated de facto control over West Bank territory through settlement expansion, land registration as state property, outpost legalization, and administrative shifts transferring powers from military to civilian authorities, with notable actions in February and June 2026. However, formal annexation via Knesset legislation declaring sovereignty remains stalled. Prime Minister Netanyahu has blocked or delayed specific bills, including one on archaeological sites, citing political risks ahead of national elections this fall. International opposition, particularly from the US administration, and coalition dynamics further constrain rapid formal steps before 2027. Traders price the low probability of a declared annexation by year-end based on these procedural and diplomatic hurdles despite ongoing ground-level changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
7% 概率
$90,398 交易量
$90,398 交易量
2026-12-31
是
7% 概率
$90,398 交易量
$90,398 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's government has accelerated de facto control over West Bank territory through settlement expansion, land registration as state property, outpost legalization, and administrative shifts transferring powers from military to civilian authorities, with notable actions in February and June 2026. However, formal annexation via Knesset legislation declaring sovereignty remains stalled. Prime Minister Netanyahu has blocked or delayed specific bills, including one on archaeological sites, citing political risks ahead of national elections this fall. International opposition, particularly from the US administration, and coalition dynamics further constrain rapid formal steps before 2027. Traders price the low probability of a declared annexation by year-end based on these procedural and diplomatic hurdles despite ongoing ground-level changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
交易量
$90,398结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's government has accelerated de facto control over West Bank territory through settlement expansion, land registration as state property, outpost legalization, and administrative shifts transferring powers from military to civilian authorities, with notable actions in February and June 2026. However, formal annexation via Knesset legislation declaring sovereignty remains stalled. Prime Minister Netanyahu has blocked or delayed specific bills, including one on archaeological sites, citing political risks ahead of national elections this fall. International opposition, particularly from the US administration, and coalition dynamics further constrain rapid formal steps before 2027. Traders price the low probability of a declared annexation by year-end based on these procedural and diplomatic hurdles despite ongoing ground-level changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$90,398结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETIsrael's government has accelerated de facto control over West Bank territory through settlement expansion, land registration as state property, outpost legalization, and administrative shifts transferring powers from military to civilian authorities, with notable actions in February and June 2026. However, formal annexation via Knesset legislation declaring sovereignty remains stalled. Prime Minister Netanyahu has blocked or delayed specific bills, including one on archaeological sites, citing political risks ahead of national elections this fall. International opposition, particularly from the US administration, and coalition dynamics further constrain rapid formal steps before 2027. Traders price the low probability of a declared annexation by year-end based on these procedural and diplomatic hurdles despite ongoing ground-level changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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