Chang Chia-chun holds the leading position in trader consensus for the 2026 Yunlin County Magistrate election due to her February 2026 KMT nomination as the successor to term-limited incumbent Chang Li-shan and the longstanding influence of the Chang political family in local KMT structures. As a sitting legislator with prior electoral experience, she has emphasized continuity on agriculture, industry, education, and elderly welfare policies while securing cross-party opposition support. Liu Chien-kuo, the DPP nominee since late 2025 and a repeat challenger from 2022, trails amid the party's efforts to highlight healthcare and regional development priorities. Earlier polling showed a comfortable lead for the KMT candidate, and the upcoming November 28 vote date combined with candidate registration opening August 31 has not introduced major shifts that would alter the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2027-06-30
张嘉郡
92%
刘建国
7%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
张嘉郡
$1,525 交易量
92%
刘建国
$418 交易量
7%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chang Chia-chun holds the leading position in trader consensus for the 2026 Yunlin County Magistrate election due to her February 2026 KMT nomination as the successor to term-limited incumbent Chang Li-shan and the longstanding influence of the Chang political family in local KMT structures. As a sitting legislator with prior electoral experience, she has emphasized continuity on agriculture, industry, education, and elderly welfare policies while securing cross-party opposition support. Liu Chien-kuo, the DPP nominee since late 2025 and a repeat challenger from 2022, trails amid the party's efforts to highlight healthcare and regional development priorities. Earlier polling showed a comfortable lead for the KMT candidate, and the upcoming November 28 vote date combined with candidate registration opening August 31 has not introduced major shifts that would alter the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ET
交易量
$1,943结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ETTaiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chang Chia-chun holds the leading position in trader consensus for the 2026 Yunlin County Magistrate election due to her February 2026 KMT nomination as the successor to term-limited incumbent Chang Li-shan and the longstanding influence of the Chang political family in local KMT structures. As a sitting legislator with prior electoral experience, she has emphasized continuity on agriculture, industry, education, and elderly welfare policies while securing cross-party opposition support. Liu Chien-kuo, the DPP nominee since late 2025 and a repeat challenger from 2022, trails amid the party's efforts to highlight healthcare and regional development priorities. Earlier polling showed a comfortable lead for the KMT candidate, and the upcoming November 28 vote date combined with candidate registration opening August 31 has not introduced major shifts that would alter the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$1,943结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ETChang Chia-chun holds the leading position in trader consensus for the 2026 Yunlin County Magistrate election due to her February 2026 KMT nomination as the successor to term-limited incumbent Chang Li-shan and the longstanding influence of the Chang political family in local KMT structures. As a sitting legislator with prior electoral experience, she has emphasized continuity on agriculture, industry, education, and elderly welfare policies while securing cross-party opposition support. Liu Chien-kuo, the DPP nominee since late 2025 and a repeat challenger from 2022, trails amid the party's efforts to highlight healthcare and regional development priorities. Earlier polling showed a comfortable lead for the KMT candidate, and the upcoming November 28 vote date combined with candidate registration opening August 31 has not introduced major shifts that would alter the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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