Recent US inflation data and labor market strength have shifted trader consensus toward a 25-basis-point federal funds rate increase at the September FOMC meeting. August CPI rose 3.4% year-over-year with core prices advancing 0.3% month-over-month, exceeding expectations, while nonfarm payrolls added 162,000 jobs against softer forecasts and unemployment held at 4.1%. Elevated oil prices above $100 per barrel, linked to Middle East tensions, have added supply-side pressure that complicates the disinflation path. Policymakers' recent signals, including post-Jackson Hole commentary, have reinforced the case for tightening after months of steady policy at the 3.50-3.75% range. These developments have narrowed the scope for a hold or cut, though the decision remains data-dependent ahead of the September 15-16 announcement.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAugust CPI inflation data shows ongoing elevated inflation
25 bps increase surges to 79%29%
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) data released on September 11 showed inflation remaining above the Fed's 2% target, reinforcing expectations for a September rate hike. This data was a critical input for the FOMC's decision-making process and contributed to the market pricing in a 25 bps increase.
U.S. Consumer Price Index report for August 2026 released
The CPI report released on September 11 provided critical inflation data for August, showing continued but gradual easing of inflation pressures. This report was closely watched as it directly impacted expectations for the Fed's September rate decision, contributing to market uncertainty between a hike and no change.


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