Recent robust U.S. labor market data, including 162,000 August nonfarm payroll gains and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, have lifted market-implied odds of a September 25-basis-point hike to roughly 58-60% while sustaining inflation concerns tied to energy prices amid geopolitical tensions. With the federal funds rate holding at 3.50-3.75%, traders price a fragmented path across the September, October, and December FOMC meetings, reflecting uncertainty over whether resilient employment and supply-side pressures will prompt one, two, or no rate increases this year versus a continued pause. The September decision, due in under two weeks, and subsequent inflation and jobs releases remain key swing factors in this closely contested outlook.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডPause–Pause–Pause 29%
Hike–Pause–Pause 18%
Hike–Hike–Pause 13%
Hike–Pause–Hike 10%
$12,762 Vol.
$12,762 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
Hike–Pause–Hike
10%
Hike–Pause–Pause
18%
Hike–Hike–Hike
6%
Hike–Hike–Pause
13%
Pause–Pause–Hike
7%
Pause–Pause–Pause
29%
Pause–Hike–Hike
5%
Pause–Hike–Pause
9%
Other
7%
Pause–Pause–Pause 29%
Hike–Pause–Pause 18%
Hike–Hike–Pause 13%
Hike–Pause–Hike 10%
$12,762 Vol.
$12,762 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
Hike–Pause–Hike
$314 Vol.
10%
Hike–Pause–Pause
$499 Vol.
18%
Hike–Hike–Hike
$216 Vol.
6%
Hike–Hike–Pause
$429 Vol.
13%
Pause–Pause–Hike
$468 Vol.
7%
Pause–Pause–Pause
$10,014 Vol.
29%
Pause–Hike–Hike
$237 Vol.
5%
Pause–Hike–Pause
$336 Vol.
9%
Other
$249 Vol.
7%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent robust U.S. labor market data, including 162,000 August nonfarm payroll gains and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, have lifted market-implied odds of a September 25-basis-point hike to roughly 58-60% while sustaining inflation concerns tied to energy prices amid geopolitical tensions. With the federal funds rate holding at 3.50-3.75%, traders price a fragmented path across the September, October, and December FOMC meetings, reflecting uncertainty over whether resilient employment and supply-side pressures will prompt one, two, or no rate increases this year versus a continued pause. The September decision, due in under two weeks, and subsequent inflation and jobs releases remain key swing factors in this closely contested outlook.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
ভলিউম
$12,762শেষ তারিখ
Dec 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent robust U.S. labor market data, including 162,000 August nonfarm payroll gains and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, have lifted market-implied odds of a September 25-basis-point hike to roughly 58-60% while sustaining inflation concerns tied to energy prices amid geopolitical tensions. With the federal funds rate holding at 3.50-3.75%, traders price a fragmented path across the September, October, and December FOMC meetings, reflecting uncertainty over whether resilient employment and supply-side pressures will prompt one, two, or no rate increases this year versus a continued pause. The September decision, due in under two weeks, and subsequent inflation and jobs releases remain key swing factors in this closely contested outlook.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
ভলিউম
$12,762শেষ তারিখ
Dec 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent robust U.S. labor market data, including 162,000 August nonfarm payroll gains and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, have lifted market-implied odds of a September 25-basis-point hike to roughly 58-60% while sustaining inflation concerns tied to energy prices amid geopolitical tensions. With the federal funds rate holding at 3.50-3.75%, traders price a fragmented path across the September, October, and December FOMC meetings, reflecting uncertainty over whether resilient employment and supply-side pressures will prompt one, two, or no rate increases this year versus a continued pause. The September decision, due in under two weeks, and subsequent inflation and jobs releases remain key swing factors in this closely contested outlook.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা