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icon for Amapá Gouverneur Wahlsieger
Politik·Brasilien

Amapá Gouverneur Wahlsieger

icon for Amapá Gouverneur Wahlsieger
Politik·Brasilien

Amapá Gouverneur Wahlsieger

Dr. Furlan 92%

Clécio Luís 4.5%

Marcos Reategui 4.2%

Jairo Palheta 2.0%

Polymarket
NEU

Dr. Furlan 92%

Clécio Luís 4.5%

Marcos Reategui 4.2%

Jairo Palheta 2.0%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Dr. Furlan

Dr. Furlan

$7,140 Vol.

92%

icon for Clécio Luís

Clécio Luís

$318 Vol.

4%

icon for Marcos Reategui

Marcos Reategui

$214 Vol.

4%

icon for Jairo Palheta

Jairo Palheta

$374 Vol.

2%

icon for Carlos Cley

Carlos Cley

$133 Vol.

<1%

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD) holds a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 91.5% consensus, driven by consistent polling advantages of 55-66% against incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) in recent surveys from institutes like Veritá, Paraná Pesquisas, and Real Time Big Data. His strong performance as Macapá mayor, including a decisive 2024 reelection, has translated into broad voter support ahead of the October 4 first round. Active campaigning through municipal visits, walks, and alliances has reinforced this position, while minor candidates register negligible shares. Late developments such as shifts in turnout, coalition realignments, or unexpected campaign events could still narrow the gap, though current evidence points to substantial barriers for challengers.

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$8,179
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD) holds a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 91.5% consensus, driven by consistent polling advantages of 55-66% against incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) in recent surveys from institutes like Veritá, Paraná Pesquisas, and Real Time Big Data. His strong performance as Macapá mayor, including a decisive 2024 reelection, has translated into broad voter support ahead of the October 4 first round. Active campaigning through municipal visits, walks, and alliances has reinforced this position, while minor candidates register negligible shares. Late developments such as shifts in turnout, coalition realignments, or unexpected campaign events could still narrow the gap, though current evidence points to substantial barriers for challengers.

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$8,179
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird Tarcísio de Freitas die Gouverneurswahl 2026 in São Paulo gewinnen?

Wird Tarcísio de Freitas die Gouverneurswahl 2026 in São Paulo gewinnen?

98%
Ja
icon for Wird Hana Ghassan die Wahl zur Gouverneurin von Pará gewinnen?

Wird Hana Ghassan die Wahl zur Gouverneurin von Pará gewinnen?

58%
Ja
icon for Wird Fábio die Gouverneurswahl 2026 in Sergipe gewinnen?

Wird Fábio die Gouverneurswahl 2026 in Sergipe gewinnen?

78%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Amapá Gouverneur Wahlsieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Dr. Furlan" mit 92%, gefolgt von „Clécio Luís" mit 4%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 92¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 92% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Amapá Gouverneur Wahlsieger" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Amapá Gouverneur Wahlsieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 5 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Amapá Gouverneur Wahlsieger" ist „Dr. Furlan" mit 92%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 92% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Clécio Luís" mit 4%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Amapá Gouverneur Wahlsieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.