Recent polling in the Ceará Senate race shows Cid Gomes (PSB) holding a lead for one seat while Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) remain closely matched for the second, with margins often inside survey error. Multiple late-August and early-September surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data place Wagner and Lins within a few points of each other in consolidated first-plus-second vote totals, amid high shares of undecided and blank ballots. The dual-vote system, overlapping alliances with gubernatorial tickets, and regional voter bases have kept separation limited, with smaller candidates such as Alcides Fernandes (PL) drawing limited but potentially decisive support. Upcoming campaign events and final coalition alignments before the October vote could shift the ordering among the top three contenders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLuizianne 44%
Capitão Wagner 36%
Cid Gomes 21%
Alcides Fernandes 1.7%
$36,440 Vol.
$36,440 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Luizianne
44%
Capitão Wagner
36%
Cid Gomes
21%
Alcides Fernandes
2%
Lino Alves
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Luizianne 44%
Capitão Wagner 36%
Cid Gomes 21%
Alcides Fernandes 1.7%
$36,440 Vol.
$36,440 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Luizianne
$11,611 Vol.
44%
Capitão Wagner
$14,299 Vol.
36%
Cid Gomes
$4,901 Vol.
21%
Alcides Fernandes
$1,095 Vol.
2%
Lino Alves
$942 Vol.
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$820 Vol.
<1%
Catarina Matos
$1,538 Vol.
<1%
Reginaldo
$1,234 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in the Ceará Senate race shows Cid Gomes (PSB) holding a lead for one seat while Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) remain closely matched for the second, with margins often inside survey error. Multiple late-August and early-September surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data place Wagner and Lins within a few points of each other in consolidated first-plus-second vote totals, amid high shares of undecided and blank ballots. The dual-vote system, overlapping alliances with gubernatorial tickets, and regional voter bases have kept separation limited, with smaller candidates such as Alcides Fernandes (PL) drawing limited but potentially decisive support. Upcoming campaign events and final coalition alignments before the October vote could shift the ordering among the top three contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Volumen
$36,440Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in the Ceará Senate race shows Cid Gomes (PSB) holding a lead for one seat while Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) remain closely matched for the second, with margins often inside survey error. Multiple late-August and early-September surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data place Wagner and Lins within a few points of each other in consolidated first-plus-second vote totals, amid high shares of undecided and blank ballots. The dual-vote system, overlapping alliances with gubernatorial tickets, and regional voter bases have kept separation limited, with smaller candidates such as Alcides Fernandes (PL) drawing limited but potentially decisive support. Upcoming campaign events and final coalition alignments before the October vote could shift the ordering among the top three contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$36,440Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in the Ceará Senate race shows Cid Gomes (PSB) holding a lead for one seat while Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) remain closely matched for the second, with margins often inside survey error. Multiple late-August and early-September surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data place Wagner and Lins within a few points of each other in consolidated first-plus-second vote totals, amid high shares of undecided and blank ballots. The dual-vote system, overlapping alliances with gubernatorial tickets, and regional voter bases have kept separation limited, with smaller candidates such as Alcides Fernandes (PL) drawing limited but potentially decisive support. Upcoming campaign events and final coalition alignments before the October vote could shift the ordering among the top three contenders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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