Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on September 1 points to an overnight low in the upper 50s, driven by persistent marine layer stratus, light southwest flow, and minimal radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies with a slight drizzle chance. These conditions align with early-September climatology where average lows hover near 56°F, though modest warming from onshore advection could push the minimum toward 58–60°F. With leading market outcomes clustered between 56–61°F and probabilities tightly bunched, traders are weighting short-range ensemble consensus against typical coastal moderation while acknowledging small upside risks from any unexpected clearing. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in San Francisco am 1. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in San Francisco am 1. September?
58-59°F 52%
52-53°F 49%
64-65°F 49%
68°F oder höher 46%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
49°F oder darunter
4%
50-51°F
14%
52-53°F
49%
54-55°F
25%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
33%
60-61°F
39%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
49%
66-67°F
19%
68°F oder höher
46%
58-59°F 52%
52-53°F 49%
64-65°F 49%
68°F oder höher 46%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
49°F oder darunter
$80 Vol.
4%
50-51°F
$35 Vol.
14%
52-53°F
$20 Vol.
49%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
25%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
27%
58-59°F
$50 Vol.
33%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
39%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
26%
64-65°F
$20 Vol.
49%
66-67°F
$85 Vol.
19%
68°F oder höher
$150 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on September 1 points to an overnight low in the upper 50s, driven by persistent marine layer stratus, light southwest flow, and minimal radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies with a slight drizzle chance. These conditions align with early-September climatology where average lows hover near 56°F, though modest warming from onshore advection could push the minimum toward 58–60°F. With leading market outcomes clustered between 56–61°F and probabilities tightly bunched, traders are weighting short-range ensemble consensus against typical coastal moderation while acknowledging small upside risks from any unexpected clearing. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volumen
$440Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 7:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on September 1 points to an overnight low in the upper 50s, driven by persistent marine layer stratus, light southwest flow, and minimal radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies with a slight drizzle chance. These conditions align with early-September climatology where average lows hover near 56°F, though modest warming from onshore advection could push the minimum toward 58–60°F. With leading market outcomes clustered between 56–61°F and probabilities tightly bunched, traders are weighting short-range ensemble consensus against typical coastal moderation while acknowledging small upside risks from any unexpected clearing. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$440Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 7:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on September 1 points to an overnight low in the upper 50s, driven by persistent marine layer stratus, light southwest flow, and minimal radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies with a slight drizzle chance. These conditions align with early-September climatology where average lows hover near 56°F, though modest warming from onshore advection could push the minimum toward 58–60°F. With leading market outcomes clustered between 56–61°F and probabilities tightly bunched, traders are weighting short-range ensemble consensus against typical coastal moderation while acknowledging small upside risks from any unexpected clearing. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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