Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of public view since succeeding his father as Iran’s Supreme Leader following the February 2026 airstrike that killed Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Trader sentiment centers on security risks, reported injuries to his face and legs sustained in the attack, and the regime’s emphasis on limiting exposure that could enable tracking or further strikes. State media has issued undated video clips and written statements attributed to him, including academic sessions released in August 2026, yet these have not resolved questions about his current condition or willingness to appear in person at events such as funerals, religious ceremonies, or official gatherings. Recent rumors of declining health circulated in August but were denied by officials, while meetings with figures like President Masoud Pezeshkian occurred privately. Any verified in-person appearance at scheduled national or religious events could shift probabilities, though procedural and security constraints continue to favor caution.