**The tight race for second place in Paraná's 2026 Senate election stems from polling that consistently shows a technical four-way tie among Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), while Álvaro Dias leads for the first seat.** Recent surveys, including those from Real Time Big Data in late August and earlier Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas releases, place these contenders within margins of error in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios, reflecting the state's divided electorate and right-wing fragmentation across competing tickets. Dallagnol's candidacy remains subject to ongoing TSE eligibility review following prior rulings, adding procedural uncertainty. With voting scheduled for October 2 and voters selecting two senators, late shifts in turnout, endorsements, or legal outcomes could separate the pack before resolution. Trader consensus prices align with this competitive dynamic.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAlexandre Curi 39%
Filipe Barros 22%
Deltan Dallagnol 12%
Gleisi 10.5%
$31,526 Vol.
$31,526 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Alexandre Curi
37%
Filipe Barros
22%
Deltan Dallagnol
12%
Gleisi
11%
Cristina Reis Graeml
4%
Dr. Rosinha
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
<1%
Karen Guerreiro
<1%
Marcelo Marcelino
<1%
Alexandre Curi 39%
Filipe Barros 22%
Deltan Dallagnol 12%
Gleisi 10.5%
$31,526 Vol.
$31,526 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Alexandre Curi
$4,854 Vol.
37%
Filipe Barros
$10,861 Vol.
22%
Deltan Dallagnol
$6,956 Vol.
12%
Gleisi
$4,883 Vol.
11%
Cristina Reis Graeml
$1,523 Vol.
4%
Dr. Rosinha
$574 Vol.
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
$712 Vol.
<1%
Karen Guerreiro
$560 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Marcelino
$605 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The tight race for second place in Paraná's 2026 Senate election stems from polling that consistently shows a technical four-way tie among Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), while Álvaro Dias leads for the first seat.** Recent surveys, including those from Real Time Big Data in late August and earlier Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas releases, place these contenders within margins of error in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios, reflecting the state's divided electorate and right-wing fragmentation across competing tickets. Dallagnol's candidacy remains subject to ongoing TSE eligibility review following prior rulings, adding procedural uncertainty. With voting scheduled for October 2 and voters selecting two senators, late shifts in turnout, endorsements, or legal outcomes could separate the pack before resolution. Trader consensus prices align with this competitive dynamic.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Volumen
$31,526Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The tight race for second place in Paraná's 2026 Senate election stems from polling that consistently shows a technical four-way tie among Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), while Álvaro Dias leads for the first seat.** Recent surveys, including those from Real Time Big Data in late August and earlier Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas releases, place these contenders within margins of error in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios, reflecting the state's divided electorate and right-wing fragmentation across competing tickets. Dallagnol's candidacy remains subject to ongoing TSE eligibility review following prior rulings, adding procedural uncertainty. With voting scheduled for October 2 and voters selecting two senators, late shifts in turnout, endorsements, or legal outcomes could separate the pack before resolution. Trader consensus prices align with this competitive dynamic.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$31,526Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**The tight race for second place in Paraná's 2026 Senate election stems from polling that consistently shows a technical four-way tie among Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), while Álvaro Dias leads for the first seat.** Recent surveys, including those from Real Time Big Data in late August and earlier Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas releases, place these contenders within margins of error in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios, reflecting the state's divided electorate and right-wing fragmentation across competing tickets. Dallagnol's candidacy remains subject to ongoing TSE eligibility review following prior rulings, adding procedural uncertainty. With voting scheduled for October 2 and voters selecting two senators, late shifts in turnout, endorsements, or legal outcomes could separate the pack before resolution. Trader consensus prices align with this competitive dynamic.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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