Recent polling shows a competitive Quebec provincial election on October 5, with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead over the Coalition Avenir Québec and Liberals amid a fragmented field and new electoral map. Trader consensus clusters around 66-74% turnout, aligning closely with the 66.15% recorded in 2022 and 66.45% in 2018. Factors supporting this range include ongoing advance polls, expanded early voting options, and a multi-party contest that typically sustains moderate engagement without the mobilization seen in higher-turnout eras. Separation could emerge from late-campaign intensity in key ridings, weather on polling day, or shifts in youth and francophone participation, which historically influence overall rates. Resolution depends on official Élections Québec figures post-October 5.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert66-70% 27%
70-74 % 23%
62-66 % 22%
74 %+ 17%
<58%
9%
58-62 %
14%
62-66 %
22%
66-70%
27%
70-74 %
23%
74 %+
17%
66-70% 27%
70-74 % 23%
62-66 % 22%
74 %+ 17%
<58%
9%
58-62 %
14%
62-66 %
22%
66-70%
27%
70-74 %
23%
74 %+
17%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows a competitive Quebec provincial election on October 5, with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead over the Coalition Avenir Québec and Liberals amid a fragmented field and new electoral map. Trader consensus clusters around 66-74% turnout, aligning closely with the 66.15% recorded in 2022 and 66.45% in 2018. Factors supporting this range include ongoing advance polls, expanded early voting options, and a multi-party contest that typically sustains moderate engagement without the mobilization seen in higher-turnout eras. Separation could emerge from late-campaign intensity in key ridings, weather on polling day, or shifts in youth and francophone participation, which historically influence overall rates. Resolution depends on official Élections Québec figures post-October 5.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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