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icon for ¿Fed abolida antes de 2027?

¿Fed abolida antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Fed abolida antes de 2027?

¿Fed abolida antes de 2027?

3% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

3% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Federal Reserve's abolition before 2027 faces steep institutional barriers, including the need for congressional legislation to repeal the Federal Reserve Act and dismantle the Board of Governors and regional banks, a process that stalled after related bills were introduced and referred to committees in early 2025 with no subsequent advancement. Current trader consensus reflects the absence of viable legislative pathways, sustained bipartisan support for the central bank's monetary policy role, and ongoing internal reforms under Chair Kevin Warsh focused on operations rather than dissolution. Even amid broader executive branch changes, Supreme Court rulings have preserved key elements of Fed independence. Shifts could occur only through an extraordinary confluence of events, such as a severe systemic crisis prompting emergency congressional action or a fundamental realignment in legislative priorities within the narrow remaining window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$7,876
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Federal Reserve's abolition before 2027 faces steep institutional barriers, including the need for congressional legislation to repeal the Federal Reserve Act and dismantle the Board of Governors and regional banks, a process that stalled after related bills were introduced and referred to committees in early 2025 with no subsequent advancement. Current trader consensus reflects the absence of viable legislative pathways, sustained bipartisan support for the central bank's monetary policy role, and ongoing internal reforms under Chair Kevin Warsh focused on operations rather than dissolution. Even amid broader executive branch changes, Supreme Court rulings have preserved key elements of Fed independence. Shifts could occur only through an extraordinary confluence of events, such as a severe systemic crisis prompting emergency congressional action or a fundamental realignment in legislative priorities within the narrow remaining window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$7,876
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:10 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Fed abolida antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿La Fed será abolida antes de 2027?" con 3%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 3¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 3% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Fed abolida antes de 2027?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Nov 5, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Fed abolida antes de 2027?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Fed abolida antes de 2027?" es "¿La Fed será abolida antes de 2027?" con solo 3%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Fed abolida antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.