Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles show strong consensus for daytime highs in Jinan on September 1 reaching 28–30 °C under mostly clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and minimal moisture. This places the maximum well above the 26 °C threshold, driving the 95.5 % market-implied probability. Late-August warming patterns and typical early-September climatology in the North China Plain reinforce the outlook, with low precipitation risk limiting cooling. Only a substantial late-model shift introducing thicker cloud cover or unforecast frontal activity could realistically pull the high below 26 °C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 1 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 1 de septiembre?
26°C or higher 96%
25°C 8%
24°C 1.1%
22°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
96%
26°C or higher 96%
25°C 8%
24°C 1.1%
22°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
16°C or below
$415 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$430 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$410 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$430 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$330 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$24 Vol.
1%
23°C
$120 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
8%
26°C or higher
$317 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles show strong consensus for daytime highs in Jinan on September 1 reaching 28–30 °C under mostly clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and minimal moisture. This places the maximum well above the 26 °C threshold, driving the 95.5 % market-implied probability. Late-August warming patterns and typical early-September climatology in the North China Plain reinforce the outlook, with low precipitation risk limiting cooling. Only a substantial late-model shift introducing thicker cloud cover or unforecast frontal activity could realistically pull the high below 26 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$2,793Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles show strong consensus for daytime highs in Jinan on September 1 reaching 28–30 °C under mostly clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and minimal moisture. This places the maximum well above the 26 °C threshold, driving the 95.5 % market-implied probability. Late-August warming patterns and typical early-September climatology in the North China Plain reinforce the outlook, with low precipitation risk limiting cooling. Only a substantial late-model shift introducing thicker cloud cover or unforecast frontal activity could realistically pull the high below 26 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,793Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles show strong consensus for daytime highs in Jinan on September 1 reaching 28–30 °C under mostly clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and minimal moisture. This places the maximum well above the 26 °C threshold, driving the 95.5 % market-implied probability. Late-August warming patterns and typical early-September climatology in the North China Plain reinforce the outlook, with low precipitation risk limiting cooling. Only a substantial late-model shift introducing thicker cloud cover or unforecast frontal activity could realistically pull the high below 26 °C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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