Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 1 indicate a daily high near 30–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered heavy rain, driven by the lingering circulation from Typhoon Shadear’s remnants. Elevated humidity, widespread cloud cover, and convective precipitation limit surface heating and diurnal warming, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. Official measurements from Shenzhen meteorological stations, incorporating standard maximum-temperature criteria, will resolve the market; model consensus shows limited spread but acknowledges that any break in cloudiness could push readings slightly higher while persistent rain favors the lower side of the range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 1 de septiembre?
29°C 37%
30°C 35%
31°C 16%
28°C 11.3%
$21,637 Vol.
$21,637 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
11%
29°C
37%
30°C
35%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
30°C 35%
31°C 16%
28°C 11.3%
$21,637 Vol.
$21,637 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
11%
29°C
37%
30°C
35%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 1 indicate a daily high near 30–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered heavy rain, driven by the lingering circulation from Typhoon Shadear’s remnants. Elevated humidity, widespread cloud cover, and convective precipitation limit surface heating and diurnal warming, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. Official measurements from Shenzhen meteorological stations, incorporating standard maximum-temperature criteria, will resolve the market; model consensus shows limited spread but acknowledges that any break in cloudiness could push readings slightly higher while persistent rain favors the lower side of the range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes