**Forecast models from the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS indicate London’s overnight low on September 1 will most likely settle between 11–14°C, with the tightest clustering around 13–14°C.** This aligns directly with the market’s heavy weighting toward those two outcomes (41% and 52% implied probability). High pressure and light westerly to south-westerly winds are expected to allow moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, while the urban heat island effect prevents deeper drops. Multiple sources show minimums of 11–13°C (roughly 52–55°F) during the pre-dawn hours, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Recent model runs have remained stable, with no significant revisions in the last 24–48 hours that would favor colder or warmer thresholds. The market therefore reflects aggregated trader assessment of this consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to 12°C or 15°C reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and wind speed at the critical overnight window. Resolution will hinge on official Met Office observations for the London area.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 1 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 1 de septiembre?
14°C 53%
13°C 41%
12°C 6%
15°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
8°C o menos
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
6%
13°C
41%
14°C
53%
15°C
6%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C o más
<1%
14°C 53%
13°C 41%
12°C 6%
15°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
8°C o menos
$80 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$360 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$86 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$138 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$269 Vol.
6%
13°C
$703 Vol.
41%
14°C
$1,363 Vol.
53%
15°C
$209 Vol.
6%
16°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$79 Vol.
<1%
18°C o más
$80 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS indicate London’s overnight low on September 1 will most likely settle between 11–14°C, with the tightest clustering around 13–14°C.**
This aligns directly with the market’s heavy weighting toward those two outcomes (41% and 52% implied probability). High pressure and light westerly to south-westerly winds are expected to allow moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, while the urban heat island effect prevents deeper drops. Multiple sources show minimums of 11–13°C (roughly 52–55°F) during the pre-dawn hours, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region.
Recent model runs have remained stable, with no significant revisions in the last 24–48 hours that would favor colder or warmer thresholds. The market therefore reflects aggregated trader assessment of this consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to 12°C or 15°C reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and wind speed at the critical overnight window. Resolution will hinge on official Met Office observations for the London area.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$3,463Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS indicate London’s overnight low on September 1 will most likely settle between 11–14°C, with the tightest clustering around 13–14°C.**
This aligns directly with the market’s heavy weighting toward those two outcomes (41% and 52% implied probability). High pressure and light westerly to south-westerly winds are expected to allow moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, while the urban heat island effect prevents deeper drops. Multiple sources show minimums of 11–13°C (roughly 52–55°F) during the pre-dawn hours, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region.
Recent model runs have remained stable, with no significant revisions in the last 24–48 hours that would favor colder or warmer thresholds. The market therefore reflects aggregated trader assessment of this consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to 12°C or 15°C reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and wind speed at the critical overnight window. Resolution will hinge on official Met Office observations for the London area.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,463Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS indicate London’s overnight low on September 1 will most likely settle between 11–14°C, with the tightest clustering around 13–14°C.** This aligns directly with the market’s heavy weighting toward those two outcomes (41% and 52% implied probability). High pressure and light westerly to south-westerly winds are expected to allow moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, while the urban heat island effect prevents deeper drops. Multiple sources show minimums of 11–13°C (roughly 52–55°F) during the pre-dawn hours, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Recent model runs have remained stable, with no significant revisions in the last 24–48 hours that would favor colder or warmer thresholds. The market therefore reflects aggregated trader assessment of this consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to 12°C or 15°C reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and wind speed at the critical overnight window. Resolution will hinge on official Met Office observations for the London area.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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