Incumbent Ed Markey consolidated Democratic support after defeating Rep. Seth Moulton in the September 1 primary, securing nearly 65 percent of the vote in a contest that tested generational and ideological divides within the party. Massachusetts’s longstanding Democratic dominance in federal elections, reinforced by consistent polling margins of roughly 20 points favoring Markey over Republican John Deaton, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. Deaton, who advanced unopposed in the GOP primary, faces structural barriers in a state where recent Democratic Senate candidates have prevailed by double-digit margins. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or significant national political shifts before the November 3 general election represent the primary pathways that could still alter the race’s trajectory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts
$48,356 Vol.
$48,356 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Ed Markey (D)
98%
John Deaton (R)
2%
$48,356 Vol.
$48,356 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Ed Markey (D)
$35,260 Vol.
98%
John Deaton (R)
$13,095 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Ed Markey consolidated Democratic support after defeating Rep. Seth Moulton in the September 1 primary, securing nearly 65 percent of the vote in a contest that tested generational and ideological divides within the party. Massachusetts’s longstanding Democratic dominance in federal elections, reinforced by consistent polling margins of roughly 20 points favoring Markey over Republican John Deaton, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. Deaton, who advanced unopposed in the GOP primary, faces structural barriers in a state where recent Democratic Senate candidates have prevailed by double-digit margins. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or significant national political shifts before the November 3 general election represent the primary pathways that could still alter the race’s trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$48,356Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Ed Markey consolidated Democratic support after defeating Rep. Seth Moulton in the September 1 primary, securing nearly 65 percent of the vote in a contest that tested generational and ideological divides within the party. Massachusetts’s longstanding Democratic dominance in federal elections, reinforced by consistent polling margins of roughly 20 points favoring Markey over Republican John Deaton, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. Deaton, who advanced unopposed in the GOP primary, faces structural barriers in a state where recent Democratic Senate candidates have prevailed by double-digit margins. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or significant national political shifts before the November 3 general election represent the primary pathways that could still alter the race’s trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$48,356Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Ed Markey consolidated Democratic support after defeating Rep. Seth Moulton in the September 1 primary, securing nearly 65 percent of the vote in a contest that tested generational and ideological divides within the party. Massachusetts’s longstanding Democratic dominance in federal elections, reinforced by consistent polling margins of roughly 20 points favoring Markey over Republican John Deaton, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. Deaton, who advanced unopposed in the GOP primary, faces structural barriers in a state where recent Democratic Senate candidates have prevailed by double-digit margins. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or significant national political shifts before the November 3 general election represent the primary pathways that could still alter the race’s trajectory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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