Aaron Flint holds a lead in the MT-01 House race as the Republican nominee for the open seat previously held by Ryan Zinke. Flint secured the nomination in the June 2 primary with endorsements from President Trump, Zinke, and Montana's congressional delegation, capitalizing on the district's consistent Republican tilt shown in the 2024 presidential results. Sam Forstag emerged from a competitive Democratic primary as the nominee, backed by progressive figures including Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, with comparable fundraising reported through June. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Likely or Lean Republican, aligning with trader pricing that reflects the district's partisan baseline and the absence of major post-primary polling shifts as the November 3 general election approaches.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMT-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$11,155 Vol.
$11,155 Vol.
Aaron Flint (R)
62%
Sam Forstag (D)
38%
$11,155 Vol.
$11,155 Vol.
Aaron Flint (R)
62%
Sam Forstag (D)
38%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aaron Flint holds a lead in the MT-01 House race as the Republican nominee for the open seat previously held by Ryan Zinke. Flint secured the nomination in the June 2 primary with endorsements from President Trump, Zinke, and Montana's congressional delegation, capitalizing on the district's consistent Republican tilt shown in the 2024 presidential results. Sam Forstag emerged from a competitive Democratic primary as the nominee, backed by progressive figures including Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, with comparable fundraising reported through June. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Likely or Lean Republican, aligning with trader pricing that reflects the district's partisan baseline and the absence of major post-primary polling shifts as the November 3 general election approaches.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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