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icon for ¿Próximo alcalde de Ciudad del Cabo?

¿Próximo alcalde de Ciudad del Cabo?

icon for ¿Próximo alcalde de Ciudad del Cabo?

¿Próximo alcalde de Ciudad del Cabo?

Geordin Hill-Lewis 94%

Nontando Nolutshungu 2.6%

Khalid Sayed 2.4%

Cheslyn Steenberg 2.1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Geordin Hill-Lewis 94%

Nontando Nolutshungu 2.6%

Khalid Sayed 2.4%

Cheslyn Steenberg 2.1%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Geordin Hill-Lewis

Geordin Hill-Lewis

$3,923 Vol.

94%

icon for Nontando Nolutshungu

Nontando Nolutshungu

$206 Vol.

3%

icon for Khalid Sayed

Khalid Sayed

$210 Vol.

2%

icon for Cheslyn Steenberg

Cheslyn Steenberg

$161 Vol.

2%

icon for Dereleen James

Dereleen James

$175 Vol.

2%

icon for Roger Solomons

Roger Solomons

$175 Vol.

1%

icon for Ndithini Tyhido

Ndithini Tyhido

$129 Vol.

1%

icon for Zelda Tarntaal

Zelda Tarntaal

$83 Vol.

1%

icon for Luvuyo Zondani

Luvuyo Zondani

$83 Vol.

1%

icon for Lwazi Pakade

Lwazi Pakade

$83 Vol.

1%

icon for Ellen Pakkies

Ellen Pakkies

$176 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fiona Abrahams

Fiona Abrahams

$129 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ernest Theron

Ernest Theron

$129 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jeremiah Thuynsma

Jeremiah Thuynsma

$83 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mareldia Chowglay

Mareldia Chowglay

$83 Vol.

<1%

icon for Brett Herron

Brett Herron

$160 Vol.

<1%

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geordin Hill-Lewis, the Democratic Alliance incumbent and federal party leader, holds a commanding position in the Cape Town mayoral market ahead of the November 4 local government elections. His re-election bid draws strength from the DA’s two-decade record of governance in the city, highlighted by recent campaign pledges for hundreds of thousands of additional jobs, expanded infrastructure spending, improved water and sanitation services, and municipal policing. Opposition candidates, including ActionSA’s Dereleen James and several ANC shortlisted contenders, remain fragmented with limited polling traction. A sustained DA majority would secure Hill-Lewis’s selection by council, though scenarios such as an erosion of support leading to coalition negotiations or shifts in key voting blocs could alter the outcome before election day.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$5,989
Fecha de finalización
18 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geordin Hill-Lewis, the Democratic Alliance incumbent and federal party leader, holds a commanding position in the Cape Town mayoral market ahead of the November 4 local government elections. His re-election bid draws strength from the DA’s two-decade record of governance in the city, highlighted by recent campaign pledges for hundreds of thousands of additional jobs, expanded infrastructure spending, improved water and sanitation services, and municipal policing. Opposition candidates, including ActionSA’s Dereleen James and several ANC shortlisted contenders, remain fragmented with limited polling traction. A sustained DA majority would secure Hill-Lewis’s selection by council, though scenarios such as an erosion of support leading to coalition negotiations or shifts in key voting blocs could alter the outcome before election day.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$5,989
Fecha de finalización
18 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Próximo alcalde de Ciudad del Cabo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 16 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Geordin Hill-Lewis" con 94%, seguido de "Nontando Nolutshungu" con 3%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 94¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 94% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Próximo alcalde de Ciudad del Cabo?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 18, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Próximo alcalde de Ciudad del Cabo?", explora los 16 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Próximo alcalde de Ciudad del Cabo?" es "Geordin Hill-Lewis" con 94%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 94% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Nontando Nolutshungu" con 3%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Próximo alcalde de Ciudad del Cabo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.