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Elecciones·Elecciones Globales

Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec

icon for Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec
Elecciones·Elecciones Globales

Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 63%

Christine Fréchette 27.7%

Charles Milliard 7%

Éric Duhaime <1%

Polymarket

$266,397 Vol.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 63%

Christine Fréchette 27.7%

Charles Milliard 7%

Éric Duhaime <1%

Polymarket

$266,397 Vol.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$19,961 Vol.

63%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$29,869 Vol.

28%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$17,177 Vol.

7%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$49,514 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$52,521 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$60,816 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$36,537 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon of the Parti Québécois leads market pricing for next premier due to sustained polling strength ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election, including recent byelection gains and consistent first-place positioning in surveys through the summer. Christine Fréchette, the incumbent CAQ premier who succeeded François Legault in April after winning her party's leadership, trails amid efforts to stabilize support during the early campaign phase launched on August 27. Charles Milliard, the Liberal leader elected earlier in 2026, holds a smaller share reflecting his party's lower standing in current aggregates. Minor probabilities for other figures align with their parties' more limited projected seat totals under the province's electoral system. Campaign focus on economic pressures, immigration thresholds, and housing has reinforced the PQ's edge in recent weeks while leaving room for shifts before voting concludes.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$266,397
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon of the Parti Québécois leads market pricing for next premier due to sustained polling strength ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election, including recent byelection gains and consistent first-place positioning in surveys through the summer. Christine Fréchette, the incumbent CAQ premier who succeeded François Legault in April after winning her party's leadership, trails amid efforts to stabilize support during the early campaign phase launched on August 27. Charles Milliard, the Liberal leader elected earlier in 2026, holds a smaller share reflecting his party's lower standing in current aggregates. Minor probabilities for other figures align with their parties' more limited projected seat totals under the province's electoral system. Campaign focus on economic pressures, immigration thresholds, and housing has reinforced the PQ's edge in recent weeks while leaving room for shifts before voting concludes.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$266,397
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" con 63%, seguido de "Christine Fréchette" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 63¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 63% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec" ha generado $266.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec" es "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" con 63%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 63% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Christine Fréchette" con 28%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.