Incumbent Claudia Tenney maintains a commanding position in New York’s 24th Congressional District due to the seat’s solidly Republican rating from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, her consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million in cash on hand. Alissa Ellman secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating a primary opponent but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district stretching across western and central New York counties. A scheduled October debate offers Ellman visibility on issues like affordability and veterans’ services, yet trader consensus reflects the limited path for an upset absent a major national partisan shift, Tenney-specific controversy, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-24
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-24
$20,585 Vol.
$20,585 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Claudia Tenney (R)
93%
Alissa Ellman (D)
9%
$20,585 Vol.
$20,585 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Claudia Tenney (R)
$10,946 Vol.
93%
Alissa Ellman (D)
$9,639 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Claudia Tenney maintains a commanding position in New York’s 24th Congressional District due to the seat’s solidly Republican rating from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, her consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million in cash on hand. Alissa Ellman secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating a primary opponent but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district stretching across western and central New York counties. A scheduled October debate offers Ellman visibility on issues like affordability and veterans’ services, yet trader consensus reflects the limited path for an upset absent a major national partisan shift, Tenney-specific controversy, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$20,585Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Claudia Tenney maintains a commanding position in New York’s 24th Congressional District due to the seat’s solidly Republican rating from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, her consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million in cash on hand. Alissa Ellman secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating a primary opponent but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district stretching across western and central New York counties. A scheduled October debate offers Ellman visibility on issues like affordability and veterans’ services, yet trader consensus reflects the limited path for an upset absent a major national partisan shift, Tenney-specific controversy, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$20,585Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Claudia Tenney maintains a commanding position in New York’s 24th Congressional District due to the seat’s solidly Republican rating from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, her consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million in cash on hand. Alissa Ellman secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating a primary opponent but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district stretching across western and central New York counties. A scheduled October debate offers Ellman visibility on issues like affordability and veterans’ services, yet trader consensus reflects the limited path for an upset absent a major national partisan shift, Tenney-specific controversy, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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