Incumbent Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the NY-23 House race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, including higher Republican voter registration and his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its composition across the Southern Tier and parts of Western New York. Langworthy ran unopposed in the Republican primary, while Democrat Aaron Gies, a St. Bonaventure University professor and first-time candidate, secured his nomination in June but trails significantly in fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus aligns with historical base rates for similar districts. A shift would require substantial national political changes, unusually high Democratic turnout, or late developments affecting Langworthy before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-23
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-23
$32,297 Vol.
$32,297 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Nick Langworthy (R)
95%
Aaron Gies (D)
4%
$32,297 Vol.
$32,297 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Nick Langworthy (R)
$16,797 Vol.
95%
Aaron Gies (D)
$15,500 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the NY-23 House race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, including higher Republican voter registration and his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its composition across the Southern Tier and parts of Western New York. Langworthy ran unopposed in the Republican primary, while Democrat Aaron Gies, a St. Bonaventure University professor and first-time candidate, secured his nomination in June but trails significantly in fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus aligns with historical base rates for similar districts. A shift would require substantial national political changes, unusually high Democratic turnout, or late developments affecting Langworthy before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$32,297Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the NY-23 House race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, including higher Republican voter registration and his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its composition across the Southern Tier and parts of Western New York. Langworthy ran unopposed in the Republican primary, while Democrat Aaron Gies, a St. Bonaventure University professor and first-time candidate, secured his nomination in June but trails significantly in fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus aligns with historical base rates for similar districts. A shift would require substantial national political changes, unusually high Democratic turnout, or late developments affecting Langworthy before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$32,297Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the NY-23 House race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, including higher Republican voter registration and his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its composition across the Southern Tier and parts of Western New York. Langworthy ran unopposed in the Republican primary, while Democrat Aaron Gies, a St. Bonaventure University professor and first-time candidate, secured his nomination in June but trails significantly in fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus aligns with historical base rates for similar districts. A shift would require substantial national political changes, unusually high Democratic turnout, or late developments affecting Langworthy before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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