Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the clearest lead in recent polling for Pernambuco’s two Senate seats, with September surveys from Real Time Big Data, Datafolha, and Quaest placing her first at 17–27% of combined first- and second-choice votes, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT, 14–20%), Mendonça Filho (PL, 11–21%), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP, 10–13%). Her consistent numerical edge stems from strong name recognition within the Frente Popular de Pernambuco alliance and broad municipal support. Costa, the sole incumbent seeking re-election, trails but remains competitive through PT organizational strength and prefeitos’ backing. Right-leaning candidates Mendonça and da Fonte draw from the Raquel Lyra base yet lag in consolidated totals. With the October 4 election approaching and substantial undecided or blank responses in multiple polls, traders have priced Arraes as the strong favorite for first place while treating the second seat as more contested.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMarília Arraes 78%
Humberto Costa 11.1%
Mendonça Filho 6.7%
Eduardo da Fonte 1.6%
$32,858 Vol.
$32,858 Vol.
Marília Arraes
78%
Humberto Costa
17%
Mendonça Filho
7%
Eduardo da Fonte
2%
Carlos Sant'Anna
<1%
Gorett Bitu
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
<1%
Mariano Macedo
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
<1%
Túlio Gadêlha
<1%
Marília Arraes 78%
Humberto Costa 11.1%
Mendonça Filho 6.7%
Eduardo da Fonte 1.6%
$32,858 Vol.
$32,858 Vol.
Marília Arraes
78%
Humberto Costa
17%
Mendonça Filho
7%
Eduardo da Fonte
2%
Carlos Sant'Anna
<1%
Gorett Bitu
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
<1%
Mariano Macedo
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
<1%
Túlio Gadêlha
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the clearest lead in recent polling for Pernambuco’s two Senate seats, with September surveys from Real Time Big Data, Datafolha, and Quaest placing her first at 17–27% of combined first- and second-choice votes, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT, 14–20%), Mendonça Filho (PL, 11–21%), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP, 10–13%). Her consistent numerical edge stems from strong name recognition within the Frente Popular de Pernambuco alliance and broad municipal support. Costa, the sole incumbent seeking re-election, trails but remains competitive through PT organizational strength and prefeitos’ backing. Right-leaning candidates Mendonça and da Fonte draw from the Raquel Lyra base yet lag in consolidated totals. With the October 4 election approaching and substantial undecided or blank responses in multiple polls, traders have priced Arraes as the strong favorite for first place while treating the second seat as more contested.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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