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Política·Brasil

Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Piauí

icon for Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Piauí
Política·Brasil

Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Piauí

Rafael Fonteles 95%

Elizeu Aguiar 1.8%

Ravenna da Inclusão 1.7%

Profesor Jurity 1.1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Rafael Fonteles 95%

Elizeu Aguiar 1.8%

Ravenna da Inclusão 1.7%

Profesor Jurity 1.1%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Rafael Fonteles

Rafael Fonteles

$1,304 Vol.

95%

icon for Elizeu Aguiar

Elizeu Aguiar

$243 Vol.

2%

icon for Ravenna da Inclusão

Ravenna da Inclusão

$222 Vol.

2%

icon for Profesor Jurity

Profesor Jurity

$235 Vol.

1%

icon for Lourdes Melo

Lourdes Melo

$317 Vol.

1%

icon for Profesor Gisvaldo

Profesor Gisvaldo

$232 Vol.

1%

icon for Santiago Belizário

Santiago Belizário

$232 Vol.

1%

icon for Dra. Lúcia Santos

Dra. Lúcia Santos

$232 Vol.

1%

icon for Geraldo Carvalho

Geraldo Carvalho

$248 Vol.

1%

icon for Joel Rodrigues

Joel Rodrigues

$248 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Feijó

Gustavo Feijó

$263 Vol.

<1%

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent seeking re-election, maintains a commanding lead in the Piauí gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus above 90%. Recent Datafolha polling from mid-August shows him at 56% of first-round vote intentions against Joel Rodrigues (PP) at 21%, with all other registered candidates at 2% or below. This positioning stems from sustained high approval of his administration—72% in the same survey—tied to policy delivery on education expansion and state management since taking office. Official convention formalization of his ticket in July and ongoing campaign focus on initiatives like elder care have reinforced momentum ahead of the October 4 first round. Fragmented opposition and historical re-election patterns for incumbents with strong approval further anchor the current market odds, though late developments in voter turnout or alliances could still influence outcomes before voting.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$3,773
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent seeking re-election, maintains a commanding lead in the Piauí gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus above 90%. Recent Datafolha polling from mid-August shows him at 56% of first-round vote intentions against Joel Rodrigues (PP) at 21%, with all other registered candidates at 2% or below. This positioning stems from sustained high approval of his administration—72% in the same survey—tied to policy delivery on education expansion and state management since taking office. Official convention formalization of his ticket in July and ongoing campaign focus on initiatives like elder care have reinforced momentum ahead of the October 4 first round. Fragmented opposition and historical re-election patterns for incumbents with strong approval further anchor the current market odds, though late developments in voter turnout or alliances could still influence outcomes before voting.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$3,773
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Piauí" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Rafael Fonteles" con 95%, seguido de "Elizeu Aguiar" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 95¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Piauí" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Piauí", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Piauí" es "Rafael Fonteles" con 95%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Elizeu Aguiar" con 2%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Piauí" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.