Recent Quaest polling from late August shows Teresa Surita (MDB) narrowly ahead in vote intention for Roraima’s two Senate seats at 19%, statistically tied with Nicoletti (PL) at 17% and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16%, followed by Chico Rodrigues at 11% and Hélio Bolsonaro at 5%. With 67% undecided in spontaneous responses and voters selecting two candidates, the fragmented field sustains tight trader probabilities for first place. Small shifts in turnout, undecided consolidation, or last-minute alliances before the October 4 election could reorder the top finishers, while the ongoing gubernatorial contest and party coalitions add indirect pressure on Senate positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTeresa Surita 49%
Nicoletti 28.8%
Helio Bolsonaro 16%
Helena da Asatur 8.3%
$46,116 Vol.
$46,116 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Teresa Surita
49%
Nicoletti
29%
Helio Bolsonaro
16%
Helena da Asatur
8%
Chico Rodrigues
3%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Teresa Surita 49%
Nicoletti 28.8%
Helio Bolsonaro 16%
Helena da Asatur 8.3%
$46,116 Vol.
$46,116 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Teresa Surita
$19,263 Vol.
49%
Nicoletti
$10,316 Vol.
29%
Helio Bolsonaro
$7,360 Vol.
16%
Helena da Asatur
$2,472 Vol.
8%
Chico Rodrigues
$1,382 Vol.
3%
Bartô Macuxi
$457 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$687 Vol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$794 Vol.
<1%
Mario Rocha
$702 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$900 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$616 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Isamar
$692 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$476 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling from late August shows Teresa Surita (MDB) narrowly ahead in vote intention for Roraima’s two Senate seats at 19%, statistically tied with Nicoletti (PL) at 17% and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16%, followed by Chico Rodrigues at 11% and Hélio Bolsonaro at 5%. With 67% undecided in spontaneous responses and voters selecting two candidates, the fragmented field sustains tight trader probabilities for first place. Small shifts in turnout, undecided consolidation, or last-minute alliances before the October 4 election could reorder the top finishers, while the ongoing gubernatorial contest and party coalitions add indirect pressure on Senate positioning.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volumen
$46,116Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling from late August shows Teresa Surita (MDB) narrowly ahead in vote intention for Roraima’s two Senate seats at 19%, statistically tied with Nicoletti (PL) at 17% and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16%, followed by Chico Rodrigues at 11% and Hélio Bolsonaro at 5%. With 67% undecided in spontaneous responses and voters selecting two candidates, the fragmented field sustains tight trader probabilities for first place. Small shifts in turnout, undecided consolidation, or last-minute alliances before the October 4 election could reorder the top finishers, while the ongoing gubernatorial contest and party coalitions add indirect pressure on Senate positioning.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$46,116Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Quaest polling from late August shows Teresa Surita (MDB) narrowly ahead in vote intention for Roraima’s two Senate seats at 19%, statistically tied with Nicoletti (PL) at 17% and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16%, followed by Chico Rodrigues at 11% and Hélio Bolsonaro at 5%. With 67% undecided in spontaneous responses and voters selecting two candidates, the fragmented field sustains tight trader probabilities for first place. Small shifts in turnout, undecided consolidation, or last-minute alliances before the October 4 election could reorder the top finishers, while the ongoing gubernatorial contest and party coalitions add indirect pressure on Senate positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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