**Official National Weather Service observations show Central Park has already recorded 8.56 inches of precipitation through August 30, 2026—nearly double the 1991–2020 normal of 4.43 inches and well above the 6-inch threshold.** Multiple heavy rain episodes, including nearly 3 inches on August 20 and additional significant falls earlier in the month, produced this surplus. With only hours remaining in August and negligible additional accumulation expected on the final day, the monthly total is effectively finalized near 8.5 inches. This leaves virtually no realistic pathway for the outcome to fall below 6 inches, consistent with the market-implied odds exceeding 99 percent for that bin. Official resolution relies on verified NWS station data rather than forecasts, and downward revisions of this magnitude are historically unprecedented.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPrecipitation in NYC in August?
Precipitation in NYC in August?
>6" 99.0%
3-4" <1%
<2" <1%
4-5" <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
<2"
<1%
2-3"
<1%
3-4"
1%
4-5"
<1%
5-6"
<1%
>6"
99%
>6" 99.0%
3-4" <1%
<2" <1%
4-5" <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
<2"
$1,267 Vol.
<1%
2-3"
$868 Vol.
<1%
3-4"
$801 Vol.
1%
4-5"
$585 Vol.
<1%
5-6"
$501 Vol.
<1%
>6"
$1,251 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between August 1 and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for August 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official National Weather Service observations show Central Park has already recorded 8.56 inches of precipitation through August 30, 2026—nearly double the 1991–2020 normal of 4.43 inches and well above the 6-inch threshold.** Multiple heavy rain episodes, including nearly 3 inches on August 20 and additional significant falls earlier in the month, produced this surplus. With only hours remaining in August and negligible additional accumulation expected on the final day, the monthly total is effectively finalized near 8.5 inches. This leaves virtually no realistic pathway for the outcome to fall below 6 inches, consistent with the market-implied odds exceeding 99 percent for that bin. Official resolution relies on verified NWS station data rather than forecasts, and downward revisions of this magnitude are historically unprecedented.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between August 1 and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for August 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for August 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jul 28, 2026, 2:06 PM ET
Volumen
$5,273Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 2:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between August 1 and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for August 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official National Weather Service observations show Central Park has already recorded 8.56 inches of precipitation through August 30, 2026—nearly double the 1991–2020 normal of 4.43 inches and well above the 6-inch threshold.** Multiple heavy rain episodes, including nearly 3 inches on August 20 and additional significant falls earlier in the month, produced this surplus. With only hours remaining in August and negligible additional accumulation expected on the final day, the monthly total is effectively finalized near 8.5 inches. This leaves virtually no realistic pathway for the outcome to fall below 6 inches, consistent with the market-implied odds exceeding 99 percent for that bin. Official resolution relies on verified NWS station data rather than forecasts, and downward revisions of this magnitude are historically unprecedented.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between August 1 and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for August 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for August 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,273Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 2:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service observations show Central Park has already recorded 8.56 inches of precipitation through August 30, 2026—nearly double the 1991–2020 normal of 4.43 inches and well above the 6-inch threshold.** Multiple heavy rain episodes, including nearly 3 inches on August 20 and additional significant falls earlier in the month, produced this surplus. With only hours remaining in August and negligible additional accumulation expected on the final day, the monthly total is effectively finalized near 8.5 inches. This leaves virtually no realistic pathway for the outcome to fall below 6 inches, consistent with the market-implied odds exceeding 99 percent for that bin. Official resolution relies on verified NWS station data rather than forecasts, and downward revisions of this magnitude are historically unprecedented.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes