Recent polling during the October 5 Quebec election campaign shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 28%, with the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec trading places around 22-24% and the Parti conservateur du Québec climbing to 16-17%. This volatility, including the CAQ's recent slide to third in several surveys amid leadership transitions and regional swings, underpins trader consensus favoring the CAQ for third place while keeping the PLQ and PCQ in contention. Key factors include strong PCQ performance in the Quebec City area, PLQ strength on Montreal Island, and campaign debates that have not produced decisive shifts. Upcoming final weeks of voting intentions and seat projections could still alter the order among these parties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCAQ 48%
PLQ 31%
PCQ 17.6%
QS 1.6%
$14,406 Vol.
$14,406 Vol.
4 oct 2026
CAQ
48%
PLQ
31%
PCQ
18%
QS
2%
PQ
6%
PVQ
<1%
CAQ 48%
PLQ 31%
PCQ 17.6%
QS 1.6%
$14,406 Vol.
$14,406 Vol.
4 oct 2026
CAQ
$4,957 Vol.
48%
PLQ
$3,970 Vol.
31%
PCQ
$2,326 Vol.
18%
QS
$1,148 Vol.
2%
PQ
$1,373 Vol.
6%
PVQ
$632 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling during the October 5 Quebec election campaign shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 28%, with the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec trading places around 22-24% and the Parti conservateur du Québec climbing to 16-17%. This volatility, including the CAQ's recent slide to third in several surveys amid leadership transitions and regional swings, underpins trader consensus favoring the CAQ for third place while keeping the PLQ and PCQ in contention. Key factors include strong PCQ performance in the Quebec City area, PLQ strength on Montreal Island, and campaign debates that have not produced decisive shifts. Upcoming final weeks of voting intentions and seat projections could still alter the order among these parties.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volumen
$14,406Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling during the October 5 Quebec election campaign shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 28%, with the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec trading places around 22-24% and the Parti conservateur du Québec climbing to 16-17%. This volatility, including the CAQ's recent slide to third in several surveys amid leadership transitions and regional swings, underpins trader consensus favoring the CAQ for third place while keeping the PLQ and PCQ in contention. Key factors include strong PCQ performance in the Quebec City area, PLQ strength on Montreal Island, and campaign debates that have not produced decisive shifts. Upcoming final weeks of voting intentions and seat projections could still alter the order among these parties.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volumen
$14,406Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling during the October 5 Quebec election campaign shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 28%, with the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec trading places around 22-24% and the Parti conservateur du Québec climbing to 16-17%. This volatility, including the CAQ's recent slide to third in several surveys amid leadership transitions and regional swings, underpins trader consensus favoring the CAQ for third place while keeping the PLQ and PCQ in contention. Key factors include strong PCQ performance in the Quebec City area, PLQ strength on Montreal Island, and campaign debates that have not produced decisive shifts. Upcoming final weeks of voting intentions and seat projections could still alter the order among these parties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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