Recent August CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, driven by a 0.4% seasonally adjusted monthly rise and a 3.9% gasoline surge, anchors trader expectations for September amid ongoing energy volatility and shelter persistence. Core CPI held at 2.4%, yet tariff pass-through and AI-driven demand for electronics and software continue to support goods prices, while services inflation reflects resilient wages. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 3.5–3.6% as participants weigh potential energy stabilization against these structural factors ahead of the October release. Fed communications and incoming labor data will likely influence near-term repricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado3,6% 41%
3.5% 32%
3,7% 17%
3,4% 9%
$15,491 Vol.
$15,491 Vol.
14 oct 2026
≤2,9%
1%
3,0%
1%
3,1%
1%
3,2%
2%
3,3%
1%
3,4%
9%
3.5%
32%
3,6%
41%
3,7%
17%
3,8%
3%
3,9%
1%
≥4,0%
2%
3,6% 41%
3.5% 32%
3,7% 17%
3,4% 9%
$15,491 Vol.
$15,491 Vol.
14 oct 2026
≤2,9%
$519 Vol.
1%
3,0%
$502 Vol.
1%
3,1%
$700 Vol.
1%
3,2%
$638 Vol.
2%
3,3%
$780 Vol.
1%
3,4%
$2,543 Vol.
9%
3.5%
$4,127 Vol.
32%
3,6%
$2,816 Vol.
41%
3,7%
$1,046 Vol.
17%
3,8%
$510 Vol.
3%
3,9%
$744 Vol.
1%
≥4,0%
$564 Vol.
2%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, driven by a 0.4% seasonally adjusted monthly rise and a 3.9% gasoline surge, anchors trader expectations for September amid ongoing energy volatility and shelter persistence. Core CPI held at 2.4%, yet tariff pass-through and AI-driven demand for electronics and software continue to support goods prices, while services inflation reflects resilient wages. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 3.5–3.6% as participants weigh potential energy stabilization against these structural factors ahead of the October release. Fed communications and incoming labor data will likely influence near-term repricing.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
Volumen
$15,491Fecha de finalización
15 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, driven by a 0.4% seasonally adjusted monthly rise and a 3.9% gasoline surge, anchors trader expectations for September amid ongoing energy volatility and shelter persistence. Core CPI held at 2.4%, yet tariff pass-through and AI-driven demand for electronics and software continue to support goods prices, while services inflation reflects resilient wages. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 3.5–3.6% as participants weigh potential energy stabilization against these structural factors ahead of the October release. Fed communications and incoming labor data will likely influence near-term repricing.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$15,491Fecha de finalización
15 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, driven by a 0.4% seasonally adjusted monthly rise and a 3.9% gasoline surge, anchors trader expectations for September amid ongoing energy volatility and shelter persistence. Core CPI held at 2.4%, yet tariff pass-through and AI-driven demand for electronics and software continue to support goods prices, while services inflation reflects resilient wages. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 3.5–3.6% as participants weigh potential energy stabilization against these structural factors ahead of the October release. Fed communications and incoming labor data will likely influence near-term repricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes